0xce32…5757

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xce3247d0665f045b0ba06746d73103a5cc655757
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.2pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

40% @ 32.7¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

361

Avg size

$71

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (47/113)	+23%	113
Sports	30% (7/23)	+81%	23

Other113 bets
Hit rate
42% (47/113)
ROI
+23%
Sports23 bets
Hit rate
30% (7/23)
ROI
+81%

Track record

40% hit · 54/136

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$204	40.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$204	35.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$294	58.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$50	18.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$28	4.2¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$304	60.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$350	51.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?	Yes	$11	0.6¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)	Top Esports	$300	43.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$307	50.2¢	Lost
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	$888	74.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10?	Yes	$21	4.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	T1	$50	59.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21?	No	$15	0.5¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)	T1	$753	87.6¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$202	61.0¢	Lost
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	$1.1k	29.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)	Top Esports	$45	9.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$324	54.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$304	76.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$101	58.0¢	Lost
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$9	0.7¢	Lost
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)	Anyones Legend	$263	71.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$304	55.0¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)	Top Esports	$36	5.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$306	59.7¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Under	$203	42.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	$2	5.2¢	Won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	Anyones Legend	$30	36.0¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	T1	$425	44.9¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	T1	$48	59.6¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	$202	70.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$304	54.0¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	$10	3.9¢	Lost
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	$25	5.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?	No	$21	7.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Lakers	Lakers	$92	45.9¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	$304	58.0¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	$305	39.0¢	Won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5	Under	$152	51.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	$104	26.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$130	11.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$284	45.0¢	Won
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$27	10.0¢	Lost
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Algeria	$201	76.5¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	$10	9.8¢	Lost

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$204 @ 40.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$204 @ 35.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$294 @ 58.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Lost
Yes$28 @ 4.2¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$304 @ 60.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
Yes$350 @ 51.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.6¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Won
Top Esports$300 @ 43.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$307 @ 50.2¢
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?Won
Yes$888 @ 74.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10?Lost
Yes$21 @ 4.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$50 @ 59.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21?Lost
No$15 @ 0.5¢
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)Won
T1$753 @ 87.6¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$202 @ 61.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 29.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)Lost
Top Esports$45 @ 9.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$324 @ 54.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?Won
Yes$304 @ 76.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$101 @ 58.0¢
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.7¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)Won
Anyones Legend$263 @ 71.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$304 @ 55.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)Lost
Top Esports$36 @ 5.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$306 @ 59.7¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$203 @ 42.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
Gen.G$2 @ 5.2¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Lost
Anyones Legend$30 @ 36.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Won
T1$425 @ 44.9¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
T1$48 @ 59.6¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$202 @ 70.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$304 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.9¢
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?Lost
Yes$25 @ 5.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?Lost
No$21 @ 7.0¢
Timberwolves vs. LakersWon
Lakers$92 @ 45.9¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Won
Over$7 @ 72.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Won
Over$304 @ 58.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsWon
Bilibili Gaming$305 @ 39.0¢
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$152 @ 51.0¢
Thunder vs. LakersLost
Lakers$104 @ 26.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$130 @ 11.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Won
Yes$284 @ 45.0¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Lost
Yes$27 @ 10.0¢
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Lost
Algeria$201 @ 76.5¢
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Anyone's Legend	$396	66.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Dplus KIA	$392	56.0¢
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	T1	$261	87.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Bilibili Gaming	$249	83.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Gen.G	$240	80.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Sports	Hanwha Life Esports	$237	79.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$3	63.0¢

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Anyone's Legend$396 @ 66.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Dplus KIA$392 @ 56.0¢
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
T1$261 @ 87.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Bilibili Gaming$249 @ 83.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Gen.G$240 @ 80.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports
Hanwha Life Esports$237 @ 79.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$3 @ 63.0¢