← Smart money
0xcbc5…e175
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
63% @ 52.3¢
Brier
0.174
Resolved
510
Avg size
$918
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (62/118) | +48% | 118 |
| Sports | 31% (8/26) | -37% | 26 |
| Politics | 40% (2/5) | -32% | 5 |
| Crypto | 75% (3/4) | +48% | 4 |
- Other118 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (62/118)
- ROI
- +48%
- Sports26 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (8/26)
- ROI
- -37%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -32%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +48%
Track record
49% hit · 75/153- Rams$600 @ 61.2¢
- No$3.0k @ 73.0¢
- Thunder$102 @ 41.5¢
- Over$492 @ 70.7¢
- Jaguars$15 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$51 @ 78.4¢
- Colts$1.6k @ 60.0¢
- Lehecka$2 @ 8.0¢
- Seahawks$52 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 13.7¢
- Knicks vs. SpursLostSpurs$827 @ 51.1¢
- No$19 @ 77.6¢
- No$4.5k @ 68.7¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 47.0¢
- No$5.2k @ 61.5¢
- Yes$83 @ 41.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 61.0¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 63.0¢
- Yes$248 @ 67.6¢
- Packers$2 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$163 @ 81.2¢
- No$23.6k @ 58.6¢
- Yes$661 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$236 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$483 @ 58.6¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- No$156 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.3¢
- No$223 @ 58.0¢
- No$577 @ 60.1¢
- No$13.2k @ 60.7¢
- Poirier$10 @ 30.0¢
- Spurs$15 @ 15.0¢
- Miami Hurricanes$5 @ 61.0¢
- No$155 @ 60.1¢
- Thunder$177 @ 58.7¢
- Michigan State Spartans$8 @ 73.0¢
- Rockets$2 @ 45.0¢
- 76ers$2.6k @ 36.8¢
- 80k$47.3k @ 84.8¢
- No$336 @ 16.2¢
- No$4.3k @ 50.3¢
- Colts$64 @ 62.9¢
- Steelers$5 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 76.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $228.5k | 93.0¢ |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $36 | 2.6¢ |
- No$228.5k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 2.6¢