← Smart money
0xcb18…3af5
SharpEdge
+13.2pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
60% @ 46.8¢
Brier
0.147
Resolved
215
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 64% (14/22) | +36% | 22 |
| Politics | 50% (8/16) | -20% | 16 |
| Crypto | 43% (3/7) | +25% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | -52% | 3 |
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (14/22)
- ROI
- +36%
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (8/16)
- ROI
- -20%
- Crypto7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +25%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -52%
Track record
56% hit · 27/48- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 16.7¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 24.1¢
- No$3 @ 76.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$2 @ 89.0¢
- No$3 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- No$27 @ 47.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.8¢
- No$1 @ 70.0¢
- No$1 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 61.5¢
- No$2 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
- No$2 @ 89.3¢
- No$1 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 72.0¢
- No$1 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
- No$12 @ 35.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 34.3¢
- No$1 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 60.0¢
- No$3 @ 71.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 78.0¢
- No$2 @ 50.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 38.2¢
- No$2 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 45.9¢
- No$1 @ 89.9¢
- No$6 @ 85.5¢
- No$1 @ 47.0¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- No$2 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 81.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $30 | 69.4¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $1 | 91.4¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 33.0¢ |
- No$30 @ 69.4¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$1 @ 91.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢