← Smart money
0xca88…7caa
ProfitableEdge
+17.6pp
ROI
+115%
Win rate
40% @ 22.7¢
Brier
0.242
Resolved
109
Avg size
$599
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 37% (14/38) | +123% | 38 |
| Sports | 18% (3/17) | -80% | 17 |
| Politics | 20% (1/5) | -1% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
- Other38 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (14/38)
- ROI
- +123%
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (3/17)
- ROI
- -80%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -1%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
28% hit · 18/64- Yes$10 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 5.5¢
- Yes$37 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$8.0k @ 28.3¢
- Yes$257 @ 34.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 12.8¢
- No$60 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$148 @ 30.1¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 18.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 1.5¢
- Eagles vs. BearsLostEagles$3 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 11.6¢
- No$16 @ 15.0¢
- No$70 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$154 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 8.0¢
- No$70 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.4¢
- Yes$103 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 63.0¢
- No$19 @ 64.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$57 @ 3.8¢
- No$7 @ 8.0¢
- Mexico$51 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$45.1k @ 61.5¢
- Yes$113 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 14.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Politics | No | $15 | 12.4¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | No | $12 | 26.8¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | Politics | No | $10 | 9.7¢ |
- No$15 @ 12.4¢
- No$12 @ 26.8¢
- No$10 @ 9.7¢