0xc9db…2ad3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc9db6c957b2ba169608907443f3991b8d01b2ad3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+44.9pp

ROI

+197%

Win rate

81% @ 36.0¢

Brier

0.371

Resolved

564

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (18/34)	+281%	34
Politics	25% (6/24)	-18%	24
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+272%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other34 bets
Hit rate
53% (18/34)
ROI
+281%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
25% (6/24)
ROI
-18%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+272%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 25/63

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$1	72.0¢	Won
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$1	35.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	$1	84.0¢	Won
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	$2	24.1¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$2	31.7¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$3	47.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$26	55.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$305	20.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	20.1¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	$5	80.8¢	Won
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Won
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Won
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1	83.0¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$11	42.4¢	Won
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$2	58.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$9	25.7¢	Won
Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	Yes	$1	53.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$9	22.4¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$5	68.4¢	Won
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	$3	5.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	$2	28.0¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$37	1.6¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$2	52.5¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$3	51.7¢	Won
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	No	$7	84.5¢	Won
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$4	24.8¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$88	85.9¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$1	62.3¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	47.9¢	Lost
Will "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Lost
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$1	63.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$2	75.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2	7.8¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2	79.5¢	Won
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	$1	38.0¢	Lost

Weed rescheduled by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 72.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$1 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 84.0¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.1¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$3 @ 47.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$26 @ 55.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$305 @ 20.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 20.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Won
No$5 @ 80.8¢
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Won
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$11 @ 42.4¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Lost
No$2 @ 58.0¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
Yes$9 @ 25.7¢
Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$9 @ 22.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.4¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
No$5 @ 20.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Megaquake by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$37 @ 1.6¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Lost
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$2 @ 52.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$3 @ 51.7¢
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Won
No$7 @ 84.5¢
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Lost
Yes$4 @ 24.8¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$88 @ 85.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 62.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 47.9¢
Will "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Lost
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$1 @ 63.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 79.5¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 38.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$20	61.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Politics	No	$9	85.9¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$8	45.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$7	9.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$6	54.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Politics	No	$4	74.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$4	54.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$4	50.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$4	51.1¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Politics	No	$3	34.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$3	80.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	90.0¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?	—	No	$2	89.4¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?	—	Yes	$2	68.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2	70.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$2	53.5¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$2	11.6¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?	Politics	Yes	$2	44.4¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	28.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$2	14.7¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$2	24.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Politics	Yes	$1	42.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	25.0¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$1	40.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	50.0¢
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?	Politics	Yes	$1	98.0¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	No	$1	98.0¢
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	97.0¢
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$1	97.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	52.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$20 @ 61.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
No$9 @ 85.9¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$8 @ 45.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
Yes$6 @ 54.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
No$4 @ 74.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$4 @ 54.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$4 @ 50.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$4 @ 51.1¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
No$3 @ 34.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$3 @ 80.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 90.0¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?—
No$2 @ 89.4¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?—
Yes$2 @ 68.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
Yes$2 @ 70.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$2 @ 53.5¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
Yes$2 @ 11.6¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Politics
Yes$2 @ 44.4¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 28.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$2 @ 14.7¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Politics
Yes$2 @ 24.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics
Yes$1 @ 42.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 50.0¢
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Politics
Yes$1 @ 98.0¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?Politics
Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢