← Smart money
0xc984…37ca
SharpEdge
-5.5pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
44% @ 49.5¢
Brier
0.210
Resolved
409
Avg size
$354
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 63% (19/30) | -13% | 30 |
| Other | 55% (16/29) | +18% | 29 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (4/8) | -5% | 8 |
| Sports | 67% (2/3) | +222% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +133% | 1 |
- Politics30 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (19/30)
- ROI
- -13%
- Other29 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (16/29)
- ROI
- +18%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- -5%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +222%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +133%
Track record
59% hit · 42/71- No$3.6k @ 53.4¢
- No$2.5k @ 55.1¢
- No$15.1k @ 82.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 77.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 62.0¢
- No$220 @ 30.8¢
- Yes$97 @ 0.1¢
- No$1.8k @ 86.2¢
- No$5.2k @ 89.8¢
- No$422 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$723 @ 55.6¢
- Yes$99 @ 33.0¢
- No$368 @ 83.1¢
- No$390 @ 39.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 58.8¢
- No$230 @ 9.1¢
- No$1.2k @ 60.0¢
- Yes$415 @ 89.0¢
- No$260 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 51.0¢
- No$21 @ 4.3¢
- No$3.2k @ 89.1¢
- No$38 @ 27.0¢
- No$28 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
- No$435 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$660 @ 66.0¢
- No$676 @ 35.6¢
- No$10 @ 81.0¢
- No$830 @ 83.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 23.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 34.1¢
- No$8.2k @ 87.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- No$3.3k @ 43.0¢
- No$17 @ 17.0¢
- No$97 @ 18.7¢
- No$99 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$250 @ 48.3¢
- Yes$136 @ 13.6¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 30.2¢
- No$8.0k @ 74.8¢
- No$157 @ 86.3¢
- No$8.5k @ 70.5¢
- No$15.9k @ 81.4¢
- No$198 @ 6.5¢
- No$1.2k @ 83.0¢
- No$620 @ 62.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $6.8k | 58.3¢ |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $4.5k | 87.4¢ |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $2.4k | 59.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $1.7k | 51.7¢ |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $986 | 30.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | Politics | No | $716 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31? | Politics | No | $270 | 27.0¢ |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31? | Politics | No | $6 | 24.0¢ |
- No$6.8k @ 58.3¢
- No$4.5k @ 87.4¢
- No$2.4k @ 59.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 51.7¢
- No$986 @ 30.0¢
- No$716 @ 50.0¢
- No$270 @ 27.0¢
- No$6 @ 24.0¢