0xc97b…47e5

Specialization by sphere

• Other11 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (7/11)

  ROI

  +40%

• Politics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +97%

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 0.6¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?Won
  Yes$430 @ 35.0¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Lost
  No$3.0k @ 85.9¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 47.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Lost
  Yes$252 @ 28.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$24.9k @ 50.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Won
  No$6.3k @ 83.3¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Lost
  No$839 @ 75.1¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Won
  Yes$3.2k @ 48.4¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?Won
  No$267 @ 88.9¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Won
  No$130 @ 50.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Lost
  Yes$4.1k @ 65.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Won
  Yes$22.3k @ 55.4¢

Current positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$521.9k @ 95.2¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
  No$111.9k @ 97.7¢
• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
  No$82.0k @ 90.1¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
  No$68.8k @ 97.5¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$62.3k @ 95.4¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$57.3k @ 87.8¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$48.9k @ 84.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$43.9k @ 93.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$42.8k @ 97.8¢
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics
  Yes$28.2k @ 96.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$18.7k @ 89.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?—
  No$16.2k @ 95.3¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$15.2k @ 91.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
  Yes$11.2k @ 86.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?—
  No$9.9k @ 98.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?—
  No$9.8k @ 98.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?—
  No$9.7k @ 97.4¢
• US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
  No$8.5k @ 95.3¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Other
  No$7.9k @ 94.6¢
• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Other
  No$7.3k @ 92.4¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$7.0k @ 92.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$6.2k @ 94.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Other
  No$6.1k @ 86.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$5.6k @ 94.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?—
  No$5.2k @ 97.5¢
• Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.7k @ 93.5¢
• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Other
  No$4.0k @ 95.0¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$3.7k @ 91.4¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 96.7¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?—
  No$2.9k @ 96.8¢