0xc7d0…1f8a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
Creator: WhaleGraph

Sharp

Edge

+6.2pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

41% @ 34.9¢

Brier

0.139

Resolved

477

Avg size

$27

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	44% (192/432)	-5%	432
Science	18% (20/111)	+132%	111
Other	37% (17/46)	+25%	46
Politics	32% (7/22)	-12%	22
Tech	50% (6/12)	+20%	12
Culture	50% (2/4)	+138%	4
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+34%	2
Economy	50% (1/2)	+28%	2

Sports432 bets
Hit rate
44% (192/432)
ROI
-5%
Science111 bets
Hit rate
18% (20/111)
ROI
+132%
Other46 bets
Hit rate
37% (17/46)
ROI
+25%
Politics22 bets
Hit rate
32% (7/22)
ROI
-12%
Tech12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+20%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+138%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+34%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+28%

Track record

39% hit · 247/631

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Over	$149	67.2¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Under	$33	7.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?	No	$869	96.4¢	Won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)	France	$247	96.3¢	Won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)	Senegal	$11	3.1¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Over	$23	3.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5	Over	$33	10.9¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5	Over	$14	2.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5	Over	$18	2.5¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	$274	62.3¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5	Over	$332	58.1¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5	Under	$76	28.6¢	Lost
Spread: France (-2.5)	France	$76	8.9¢	Lost
Spread: France (-2.5)	Senegal	$236	94.4¢	Won
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?	No	$898	94.6¢	Won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	$22	62.0¢	Won
IR Iran leading at halftime?	No	$20	22.0¢	Won
IR Iran leading at halftime?	Yes	$172	54.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner	Gentle Mates	$30	25.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner	Nuclear TigeRES	$12	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$22	11.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 16?	Yes	$3	3.3¢	Lost
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)	IR Iran	$20	71.0¢	Won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)	New Zealand	$63	8.9¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5	Under	$352	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 16?	No	$29	61.6¢	Won
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchova	Shuai Zhang	$7	2.7¢	Lost
ITF Tokyo: Saki Tange vs Colin Sinclair	Colin Sinclair	$30	46.0¢	Won
ITF Tokyo: Saki Tange vs Colin Sinclair	Saki Tange	$41	37.2¢	Lost
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?	No	$27	12.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	$16	7.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?	Yes	$12	5.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$223	83.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	TDK	$40	63.8¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5	Over	$112	10.3¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5	Under	$183	80.2¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5	Under	$4	65.9¢	Won
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)	Los Angeles Sparks	$1	8.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5	Under	$24	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner	Game Master	$38	85.1¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$10	52.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	$62	62.4¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5	Under	$28	16.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	No	$9	37.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	No	$56	14.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	$4	3.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?	No	$61	16.7¢	Won

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Won
Over$149 @ 67.2¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$33 @ 7.1¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?Won
No$869 @ 96.4¢
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Won
France$247 @ 96.3¢
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Lost
Senegal$11 @ 3.1¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Won
Over$23 @ 3.0¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Won
Over$33 @ 10.9¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$14 @ 2.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$18 @ 2.5¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$274 @ 62.3¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Won
Over$332 @ 58.1¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$76 @ 28.6¢
Spread: France (-2.5)Lost
France$76 @ 8.9¢
Spread: France (-2.5)Won
Senegal$236 @ 94.4¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?Won
No$898 @ 94.6¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Won
Over$22 @ 62.0¢
IR Iran leading at halftime?Won
No$20 @ 22.0¢
IR Iran leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$172 @ 54.6¢
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerLost
Gentle Mates$30 @ 25.4¢
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerWon
Nuclear TigeRES$12 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Won
IR Iran$20 @ 71.0¢
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Lost
New Zealand$63 @ 8.9¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Won
Under$352 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 16?Won
No$29 @ 61.6¢
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina MuchovaLost
Shuai Zhang$7 @ 2.7¢
ITF Tokyo: Saki Tange vs Colin SinclairWon
Colin Sinclair$30 @ 46.0¢
ITF Tokyo: Saki Tange vs Colin SinclairLost
Saki Tange$41 @ 37.2¢
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$27 @ 12.0¢
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$16 @ 7.1¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?Lost
Yes$12 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$223 @ 83.1¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsWon
TDK$40 @ 63.8¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$112 @ 10.3¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Won
Under$183 @ 80.2¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Won
Under$4 @ 65.9¢
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Lost
Los Angeles Sparks$1 @ 8.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Lost
Under$24 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 WinnerWon
Game Master$38 @ 85.1¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Won
Under$62 @ 62.4¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Lost
Under$28 @ 16.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Lost
No$9 @ 37.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?Won
No$56 @ 14.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?Won
No$61 @ 16.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Politics	No	$2.8k	95.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.3k	90.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$2.2k	58.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$1.9k	89.6¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.8k	85.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.6k	88.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	95.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.4k	73.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?	Other	Yes	$1.4k	88.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$1.4k	95.3¢
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Politics	No	$1.4k	92.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Other	No	$1.3k	85.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	96.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	Politics	No	$1.3k	93.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	93.9¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Economy	No	$1.3k	93.8¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	96.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.2k	86.9¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5	Sports	Under	$1.2k	95.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.1k	91.9¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$1.1k	92.2¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.1k	90.4¢
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.0k	83.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Other	No	$1.0k	75.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Tech	No	$1.0k	81.2¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	No	$1.0k	93.8¢
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	55.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Economy	Yes	$969	93.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$963	41.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$940	71.9¢

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Politics
No$2.8k @ 95.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics
No$2.3k @ 90.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Geopolitics
No$2.2k @ 58.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
No$1.9k @ 89.6¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics
No$1.8k @ 85.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Politics
No$1.6k @ 88.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 95.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.4k @ 73.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Other
Yes$1.4k @ 88.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Geopolitics
No$1.4k @ 95.3¢
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
No$1.4k @ 92.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Other
No$1.3k @ 85.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 96.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Politics
No$1.3k @ 93.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 93.9¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy
No$1.3k @ 93.8¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 96.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.2k @ 86.9¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Sports
Under$1.2k @ 95.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics
No$1.1k @ 91.9¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$1.1k @ 92.2¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
No$1.1k @ 90.4¢
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
No$1.0k @ 83.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Other
No$1.0k @ 75.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
No$1.0k @ 81.2¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
No$1.0k @ 93.8¢
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 55.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy
Yes$969 @ 93.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$963 @ 41.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$940 @ 71.9¢