0xc6f7…87ae

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc6f71e0dd4f309f0854bb855c389d95c5ffc87ae
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

50% @ 42.2¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

1493

Avg size

$17

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (134/269)	+58%	269
Politics	36% (15/42)	+24%	42
Sports	35% (8/23)	+38%	23
Geopolitics	13% (1/8)	-62%	8
Tech	100% (1/1)	+17%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other269 bets
Hit rate
50% (134/269)
ROI
+58%
Politics42 bets
Hit rate
36% (15/42)
ROI
+24%
Sports23 bets
Hit rate
35% (8/23)
ROI
+38%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-62%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 159/344

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	$46	51.0¢	Lost
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?	No	$20	51.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 2?	Yes	$16	54.7¢	Won
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will Google say "European Commission" during earnings call?	No	$20	70.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Miami address?	No	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1475.00 and 1499.99 on December 31 2025?	Yes	$12	6.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$158	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 23?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 24?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)	No	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$13	11.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$17	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on March 23?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$345	83.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$17	83.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 20?	Yes	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 3?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Won
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$515	73.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)	No	$67	81.2¢	Won
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	$18	69.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 18?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	$6	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 28?	Yes	$3	7.3¢	Lost
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Weili	$9	44.0¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 1?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	$525	87.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	76.0¢	Won
Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week?	No	$0	33.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$2.3k	68.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 26?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	25.0¢	Won
Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?	No	$12	80.8¢	Won
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?	No	$5	45.0¢	Won
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?	No	$31	5.3¢	Lost
Will Trump post "Hungary" on Truth Social this week?	No	$13	24.2¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$115	85.0¢	Won
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	$22	14.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$50	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?	Yes	$7	39.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$51	12.7¢	Lost
Will Trump post "Bomb" or "Bomber" on Truth Social this week?	No	$21	74.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on December 31?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Lost
No$46 @ 51.0¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?Won
No$20 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 2?Won
Yes$16 @ 54.7¢
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?Lost
No$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Google say "European Commission" during earnings call?Won
No$20 @ 70.4¢
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Miami address?Won
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1475.00 and 1499.99 on December 31 2025?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$158 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
Yes$13 @ 11.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on March 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Won
Yes$7 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$345 @ 83.5¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Lost
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 3?Won
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$515 @ 73.6¢
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)Won
No$67 @ 81.2¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Won
No$18 @ 69.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 28?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.3¢
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Weili$9 @ 44.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Won
Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$525 @ 87.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$2 @ 22.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$8 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week?Won
No$0 @ 33.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 68.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?Won
No$12 @ 80.8¢
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?Won
No$5 @ 45.0¢
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?Lost
No$31 @ 5.3¢
Will Trump post "Hungary" on Truth Social this week?Lost
No$13 @ 24.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$115 @ 85.0¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Wang Cong$22 @ 14.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?Lost
Yes$7 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$51 @ 12.7¢
Will Trump post "Bomb" or "Bomber" on Truth Social this week?Won
No$21 @ 74.1¢
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on December 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.0k	96.3¢
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.9k	94.4¢
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	96.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$365	81.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Politics	No	$254	75.0¢
GTA VI released by November 30?	Culture	Yes	$188	94.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	Politics	No	$157	87.3¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$96	12.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?	Politics	No	$89	93.6¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$70	35.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	Politics	No	$62	80.9¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Politics	No	$61	71.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$40	10.0¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$37	53.4¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Tech	No	$30	75.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?	Politics	No	$25	94.4¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	No	$25	63.5¢
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	Sports	No	$19	92.0¢
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$15	5.8¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Economy	No	$12	83.4¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2	0.7¢
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.3¢
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.4¢
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.5¢

Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$2.0k @ 96.3¢
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Politics
No$1.9k @ 94.4¢
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 96.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$365 @ 81.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
No$254 @ 75.0¢
GTA VI released by November 30?Culture
Yes$188 @ 94.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics
No$157 @ 87.3¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$96 @ 12.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Politics
No$89 @ 93.6¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Geopolitics
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Politics
No$62 @ 80.9¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics
No$61 @ 71.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$40 @ 10.0¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Geopolitics
No$37 @ 53.4¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Tech
No$30 @ 75.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?Politics
No$25 @ 94.4¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
No$25 @ 63.5¢
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Sports
No$19 @ 92.0¢
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics
Yes$15 @ 5.8¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy
No$12 @ 83.4¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?Geopolitics
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢