← Smart money
0xc6b1…78fd
ProfitableEdge
+4.0pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
42% @ 38.5¢
Brier
0.247
Resolved
4579
Avg size
$572
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (123/296) | -0% | 296 |
| Sports | 36% (8/22) | +44% | 22 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +20% | 1 |
- Other296 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (123/296)
- ROI
- -0%
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (8/22)
- ROI
- +44%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
41% hit · 132/320- No$3.6k @ 67.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 23.0¢
- Pacers$3.1k @ 10.9¢
- Sabres vs. KingsLostKings$2.7k @ 47.0¢
- No$9.1k @ 45.0¢
- No$11.0k @ 44.7¢
- No$9.5k @ 73.0¢
- No$5.5k @ 55.0¢
- No$10.2k @ 40.8¢
- Gabriel Diallo$2.0k @ 22.0¢
- No$950 @ 19.0¢
- No$5.1k @ 39.0¢
- No$8.8k @ 45.0¢
- No$31.4k @ 46.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 28.0¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$20.3k @ 53.4¢
- No$6.9k @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 69.0¢
- No$15.0k @ 50.9¢
- Avalanche$823 @ 46.0¢
- No$22.5k @ 48.0¢
- No$600 @ 12.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 49.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$15.3k @ 42.0¢
- No$14.5k @ 47.4¢
- No$5.4k @ 53.0¢
- Flyers$5.2k @ 39.0¢
- No$6.6k @ 25.1¢
- Capitals$9.9k @ 46.7¢
- No$3.0k @ 18.0¢
- No$2.7k @ 44.0¢
- No$11.2k @ 36.0¢
- No$18.4k @ 63.0¢
- Knicks$1.5k @ 34.0¢
- Magic$2.7k @ 51.0¢
- No$3.6k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 12.8¢
- Oilers$3.8k @ 41.0¢
- No$10.4k @ 67.0¢
- FURIA$34.7k @ 23.4¢
- Yes$15.5k @ 61.0¢
- Hurricanes$36.1k @ 60.0¢
- No$4.1k @ 32.0¢
- Timberwolves$1.8k @ 28.0¢
- No$28.8k @ 37.3¢
- No$6.0k @ 55.0¢
- Steven Asplund$556 @ 34.0¢
- Flyers$28.6k @ 42.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 34.0¢
- No$20.6k @ 29.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $345 | 1.2¢ |
- Yes$345 @ 1.2¢