0xbeac…b326

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbeacb13213d5e0c855a6214f3aa519e9d21ab326
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.1pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

68% @ 55.7¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

Avg size

$43

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (28/44)	+27%	44
Politics	59% (10/17)	-14%	17
Geopolitics	33% (2/6)	-75%	6
Sports	100% (1/1)	+223%	1

Other44 bets
Hit rate
64% (28/44)
ROI
+27%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
ROI
-14%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-75%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+223%

Track record

60% hit · 41/68

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets	Canadiens	$75	50.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$40	14.7¢	Won
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$53	88.5¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$40	40.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$108	86.7¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$37	87.7¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$45	85.3¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$54	30.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Suns	Suns	$35	61.0¢	Won
Commanders vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	$120	87.6¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$38	66.7¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	No	$20	48.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$39	31.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Kraken	Kraken	$250	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$47	61.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Patriots	Patriots	$50	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$36	9.5¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Suns	Hawks	$52	90.0¢	Won
Hawks vs. Suns	Suns	$132	65.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?	Yes	$52	5.2¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on November 14 2025?	Yes	$10	32.7¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?	Yes	$20	44.0¢	Won
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	$100	67.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$7	78.3¢	Won
Clippers vs. Celtics	Celtics	$120	81.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	$30	9.0¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	$54	3.6¢	Lost
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$48	19.0¢	Lost
Will Denmark vs. Belarus end in a draw?	Yes	$153	42.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$10	55.0¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	Yes	$43	17.1¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?	Yes	$59	84.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	$7	85.0¢	Won
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?	Yes	$150	77.9¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?	No	$20	67.0¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	Yes	$52	62.7¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$45	78.5¢	Won
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?	No	$20	52.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$46	88.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?	No	$15	68.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$5	38.0¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$54	24.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Islanders vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$66	88.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$46	51.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$221	61.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?	No	$7	32.0¢	Lost
Bears vs. Vikings	Bears	$108	84.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$87	63.5¢	Lost
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	$15	59.0¢	Won

Canadiens vs. Blue JacketsLost
Canadiens$75 @ 50.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$40 @ 14.7¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Won
Yes$53 @ 88.5¢
Trail Blazers vs. MavericksWon
Mavericks$40 @ 40.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$108 @ 86.7¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$37 @ 87.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$45 @ 85.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 30.0¢
Pacers vs. SunsWon
Suns$35 @ 61.0¢
Commanders vs. DolphinsWon
Dolphins$120 @ 87.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$38 @ 66.7¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Lost
No$20 @ 48.0¢
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$39 @ 31.0¢
Jets vs. KrakenWon
Kraken$250 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$47 @ 61.0¢
Jets vs. PatriotsWon
Patriots$50 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$36 @ 9.5¢
Hawks vs. SunsWon
Hawks$52 @ 90.0¢
Hawks vs. SunsLost
Suns$132 @ 65.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?Lost
Yes$52 @ 5.2¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on November 14 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.7¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Won
Yes$20 @ 44.0¢
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?Won
Yes$100 @ 67.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 78.3¢
Clippers vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$120 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Lost
No$30 @ 9.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 3.6¢
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Lost
Yes$48 @ 19.0¢
Will Denmark vs. Belarus end in a draw?Won
Yes$153 @ 42.3¢
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$10 @ 55.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Lost
Yes$43 @ 17.1¢
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Lost
Yes$59 @ 84.0¢
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Won
Yes$7 @ 85.0¢
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?Lost
Yes$150 @ 77.9¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?Won
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Lost
Yes$52 @ 62.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$45 @ 78.5¢
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?Won
No$20 @ 52.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$46 @ 88.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Lost
No$15 @ 68.9¢
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$5 @ 38.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 24.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Islanders vs. AvalancheWon
Avalanche$66 @ 88.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$46 @ 51.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$221 @ 61.1¢
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?Lost
No$7 @ 32.0¢
Bears vs. VikingsWon
Bears$108 @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$87 @ 63.5¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Won
No$15 @ 59.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?	Geopolitics	Yes	$15	70.6¢
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	28.5¢

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?Geopolitics
Yes$15 @ 70.6¢
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 28.5¢