← Smart money
0xbb9c…072b
ProfitableEdge
+10.9pp
ROI
+40%
Win rate
54% @ 43.0¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
1736
Avg size
$244
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (103/220) | +43% | 220 |
| Politics | 41% (12/29) | +6% | 29 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | +9% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (2/2) | +14% | 2 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +222% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
- Other220 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (103/220)
- ROI
- +43%
- Politics29 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (12/29)
- ROI
- +6%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +9%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +14%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +222%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
47% hit · 120/258- No$795 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 29.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
- No$70 @ 25.1¢
- No$1.2k @ 41.2¢
- No$6 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 30.5¢
- No$106 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$377 @ 87.2¢
- No$72 @ 2.3¢
- No$8 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$991 @ 88.1¢
- No$4.2k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 67.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 89.4¢
- No$1.4k @ 64.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 79.8¢
- No$6.9k @ 74.1¢
- No$5.7k @ 23.4¢
- Yes$516 @ 86.8¢
- No$1.2k @ 71.1¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 65.1¢
- No$2.1k @ 50.1¢
- No$132 @ 12.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 89.7¢
- Yes$67 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 1.0¢
- Servette Geneva$570 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 66.7¢
- No$396 @ 68.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 67.1¢
- Yes$285 @ 31.4¢
- No$2.8k @ 42.5¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 44.4¢
- Yes$19 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 66.5¢
- No$5 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$440 @ 88.0¢
- No$395 @ 58.6¢
- No$91 @ 68.0¢
- No$468 @ 6.1¢
- No$3.7k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 3.8¢
- No$2.1k @ 36.3¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 57.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 34.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$45 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$47 @ 79.8¢
- No$212 @ 1.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $439 | 89.1¢ |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Tech | No | $242 | 78.0¢ |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $160 | 53.3¢ |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Tech | No | $16 | 72.0¢ |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $16 | 18.0¢ |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $6 | 60.0¢ |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Tech | Yes | $3 | 15.0¢ |
- Yes$439 @ 89.1¢
- No$242 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$160 @ 53.3¢
- No$16 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 18.0¢
- No$6 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 15.0¢