← Smart money
0xb96c…6cc6
SharpEdge
-4.2pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
54% @ 58.5¢
Brier
0.184
Resolved
2858
Avg size
$174
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 58% (337/584) | +8% | 584 |
| Sports | 71% (20/28) | +9% | 28 |
- Other584 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (337/584)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (20/28)
- ROI
- +9%
Track record
58% hit · 357/612- Titans$34 @ 15.0¢
- No$344 @ 56.2¢
- No$125 @ 38.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 84.0¢
- No$3.1k @ 83.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 41.0¢
- No$43 @ 43.0¢
- No$602 @ 51.0¢
- No$638 @ 65.6¢
- No$711 @ 48.0¢
- No$585 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 6.9¢
- No$2.6k @ 53.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 89.0¢
- No$466 @ 89.0¢
- No$190 @ 76.0¢
- No$123 @ 88.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 87.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 54.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 85.0¢
- No$602 @ 51.0¢
- No$33 @ 55.0¢
- Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LostYes$96 @ 0.7¢
- No$81 @ 56.0¢
- No$140 @ 72.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 71.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 78.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 68.0¢
- No$376 @ 58.9¢
- No$810 @ 88.0¢
- No$699 @ 37.0¢
- Bulls vs. HeatLostHeat$228 @ 64.4¢
- No$16 @ 41.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 82.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 54.9¢
- No$104 @ 54.0¢
- No$370 @ 56.0¢
- No$534 @ 32.0¢
- No$184 @ 75.0¢
- No$713 @ 87.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 54.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 53.0¢
- No$468 @ 52.0¢
- Under$37 @ 14.6¢
- No$596 @ 87.0¢
- No$334 @ 63.0¢
- No$214 @ 75.0¢
- No$5.4k @ 83.0¢
- No$119 @ 72.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? | Sports | No | $3.2k | 95.0¢ |
| Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw? | Sports | No | $806 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | Sports | No | $605 | 17.4¢ |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10? | Sports | No | $434 | 96.5¢ |
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? | Sports | No | $249 | 36.0¢ |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $175 | 3.5¢ |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? | Sports | Yes | $31 | 4.0¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $31 | 1.8¢ |
- No$3.2k @ 95.0¢
- No$806 @ 79.0¢
- No$605 @ 17.4¢
- No$434 @ 96.5¢
- No$249 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$175 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 1.8¢