0xb841…3cfb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb8415ce9e03af2618cf6f6c549c26e8953613cfb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.0pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

70% @ 51.3¢

Brier

0.138

Resolved

249

Avg size

$34

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (34/87)	+66%	87
Sports	64% (9/14)	+27%	14
Politics	50% (1/2)	-49%	2

Other87 bets
Hit rate
39% (34/87)
ROI
+66%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
64% (9/14)
ROI
+27%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-49%

Track record

43% hit · 44/103

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	$0	1.0¢	Won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)	Leviatán Esports	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	No	$0	1.0¢	Won
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner	Team Secret Whales	$284	79.9¢	Won
Martin Zlomislić: 4+ saves	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?	Over	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	$0	1.0¢	Won
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	No	$0	1.0¢	Won
First Blood in Game 2?	BNK FEARX	$508	50.0¢	Won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	$84	52.2¢	Won
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	$0	1.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5	Over	$0	2.0¢	Lost
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	$3.9k	71.5¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-6.5) vs ASTRAL (+6.5)	ASTRAL	$16	49.0¢	Won
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	$199	52.0¢	Lost
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Won
LoL: GAM Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	GAM Esports	$57	83.9¢	Won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	$0	7.0¢	Lost
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)	FUT Esports	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals + assists	No	$178	88.5¢	Won
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists	No	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Legacy (+6.5)	PARIVISION	$0	2.0¢	Lost
First Blood in Game 1?	GIANTX	$133	26.0¢	Won
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	No	$0	1.0¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$18	88.2¢	Won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	$3	50.0¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs Team Spirit Academy White (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	Team Spirit Academy White	$2	10.3¢	Won
LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming - Game 1 Winner	New Meta	$6	55.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5	Under	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Yes	$1	4.9¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time - Game 2 Winner	Verso Time	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	$1	1.0¢	Won
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$333	78.0¢	Lost
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5)	Legacy	$0	2.0¢	Lost
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	$673	86.0¢	Won
Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves	No	$3	53.0¢	Won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Honor of Kings: JD Gaming vs LGD NBW - Game 2 Winner	LGD NBW	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance	Brazil	$142	71.0¢	Won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance	Japan	$27	27.0¢	Lost
First Blood in Game 2?	Movistar KOI	$3	1.0¢	Won

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?Won
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)Lost
Leviatán Esports$0 @ 2.0¢
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?Won
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Secret Whales$284 @ 79.9¢
Martin Zlomislić: 4+ savesWon
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Lost
Over$0 @ 2.0¢
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?Won
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Won
No$0 @ 1.0¢
First Blood in Game 2?Won
BNK FEARX$508 @ 50.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Won
Under$84 @ 52.2¢
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Won
Even$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Lost
Over$0 @ 2.0¢
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$3.9k @ 71.5¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1 @ 1.0¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-6.5) vs ASTRAL (+6.5)Won
ASTRAL$16 @ 49.0¢
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?Lost
Yes$199 @ 52.0¢
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Won
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
GAM Esports$57 @ 83.9¢
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Lost
Odd$0 @ 7.0¢
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)Lost
FUT Esports$0 @ 2.0¢
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals + assistsWon
No$178 @ 88.5¢
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assistsLost
No$5 @ 5.0¢
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Legacy (+6.5)Lost
PARIVISION$0 @ 2.0¢
First Blood in Game 1?Won
GIANTX$133 @ 26.0¢
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?Won
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
No$18 @ 88.2¢
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Won
Over$3 @ 50.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs Team Spirit Academy White (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd DivisionWon
Team Spirit Academy White$2 @ 10.3¢
LoL: New Meta vs L Guide Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
New Meta$6 @ 55.0¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$0 @ 2.0¢
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Lost
Under$0 @ 2.0¢
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?Won
Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time - Game 2 WinnerLost
Verso Time$3 @ 50.0¢
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Won
Odd$1 @ 1.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on targetLost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$333 @ 78.0¢
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5)Lost
Legacy$0 @ 2.0¢
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$673 @ 86.0¢
Timothy Fayulu: 5+ savesWon
No$3 @ 53.0¢
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Honor of Kings: JD Gaming vs LGD NBW - Game 2 WinnerLost
LGD NBW$0 @ 2.0¢
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceWon
Brazil$142 @ 71.0¢
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceLost
Japan$27 @ 27.0¢
First Blood in Game 2?Won
Movistar KOI$3 @ 1.0¢

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