0xb83f…b17e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb83fa7dc2627ca4b8f6d632ddc3521faa396b17e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.9pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

38% @ 34.9¢

Brier

0.187

Resolved

1393

Avg size

$31

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (305/709)	+8%	709
Sports	60% (3/5)	+104%	5
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	25% (1/4)	-38%	4

Other709 bets
Hit rate
43% (305/709)
ROI
+8%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+104%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-38%

Track record

43% hit · 309/722

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	Team Falcons	$1000	46.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	$36	71.0¢	Lost
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?	Yes	$5	1.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	FUT Esports	$80	57.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?	Yes	$107	5.8¢	Lost
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jan Choinski	Perricard	$67	67.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	$62	85.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	FURIA	$114	56.0¢	Won
1899 Hoffenheim vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Under	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	3DMAX	$100	49.0¢	Won
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Valentova (+1.5)	Gauff	$102	56.0¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$25	14.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	BC.Game Esports	$34	52.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$44	50.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	ENCE	$11	36.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$35	68.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Liquid	$53	53.0¢	Won
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?	Yes	$16	12.4¢	Lost
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	$25	63.0¢	Won
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$30	49.0¢	Won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Liverpool FC	$22	51.0¢	Won
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?	No	$82	27.0¢	Won
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$37	24.3¢	Lost
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?	No	$15	41.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	$12	24.0¢	Lost
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Olga Danilovic	Danilovic	$20	53.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)	TheMongolz	$24	37.0¢	Lost
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Zverev	$37	48.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 7?	Yes	$17	0.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	Team Falcons	$1.5k	80.0¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	Carlos Alcaraz	$29	14.3¢	Lost
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristian	Cristian	$25	66.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 26?	Yes	$0	1.8¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	Zverev	$126	51.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?	Yes	$15	47.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?	Yes	$31	1.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner	fnatic	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?	No	$25	60.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)	FUT Esports	$25	61.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Anyones Legend	$56	56.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?	No	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: magic vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs	ACROBATS	$53	55.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 2?	Yes	$49	1.7¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	$52	48.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)	NIP	$20	30.0¢	Lost

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)Won
Team Falcons$1000 @ 46.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerLost
Gen.G$36 @ 71.0¢
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.5¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Won
FUT Esports$80 @ 57.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?Lost
Yes$107 @ 5.8¢
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jan ChoinskiWon
Perricard$67 @ 67.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Won
No$62 @ 85.9¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AWon
FURIA$114 @ 56.0¢
1899 Hoffenheim vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$1 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
3DMAX$100 @ 49.0¢
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Valentova (+1.5)Won
Gauff$102 @ 56.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Lost
Yes$25 @ 14.8¢
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerWon
BC.Game Esports$34 @ 52.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Over$44 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerLost
ENCE$11 @ 36.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$35 @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsWon
Liquid$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?Lost
Yes$16 @ 12.4¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
Bilibili Gaming$25 @ 63.0¢
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$30 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Won
Liverpool FC$22 @ 51.0¢
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Won
No$82 @ 27.0¢
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Lost
Yes$37 @ 24.3¢
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Lost
Villarreal CF$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?Won
No$15 @ 41.0¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$12 @ 24.0¢
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Olga DanilovicLost
Danilovic$20 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)Lost
TheMongolz$24 @ 37.0¢
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir KecmanovicLost
Zverev$37 @ 48.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 7?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageWon
Team Falcons$1.5k @ 80.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerLost
Carlos Alcaraz$29 @ 14.3¢
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline CristianLost
Cristian$25 @ 66.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevLost
Zverev$126 @ 51.0¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?Lost
Yes$15 @ 47.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?Lost
Yes$31 @ 1.8¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerLost
fnatic$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?Won
No$25 @ 60.0¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)Won
FUT Esports$25 @ 61.0¢
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Lost
Anyones Legend$56 @ 56.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?Lost
No$5 @ 15.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Won
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 24?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
ACROBATS$53 @ 55.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 2?Lost
Yes$49 @ 1.7¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLost
Aurora Gaming$52 @ 48.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)Lost
NIP$20 @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	Sports	Team Falcons	$1000	46.0¢

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)Sports
Team Falcons$1000 @ 46.0¢