← Smart money
0xb5e8…a5f9
SharpEdge
+9.9pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
51% @ 40.7¢
Brier
0.199
Resolved
647
Avg size
$38
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 52% (117/224) | +33% | 224 |
| Other | 43% (33/76) | -11% | 76 |
| Geopolitics | 43% (3/7) | -58% | 7 |
| Sports | 50% (2/4) | +57% | 4 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Politics224 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (117/224)
- ROI
- +33%
- Other76 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (33/76)
- ROI
- -11%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- -58%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +57%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 155/313- Yes$85 @ 40.5¢
- No$221 @ 46.8¢
- Yes$836 @ 94.2¢
- Yes$122 @ 28.6¢
- No$90 @ 35.9¢
- No$113 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$212 @ 23.4¢
- No$180 @ 86.8¢
- No$5 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.5¢
- Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?LostYes$23 @ 16.0¢
- No$16 @ 27.4¢
- No$61 @ 59.0¢
- No$2 @ 44.0¢
- No$168 @ 21.6¢
- No$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$440 @ 87.9¢
- No$12 @ 30.8¢
- Maria Sakkari$3 @ 87.0¢
- No$6 @ 30.0¢
- No$31 @ 48.7¢
- No$15 @ 41.0¢
- No$14 @ 41.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$121 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$33 @ 54.0¢
- No$168 @ 48.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 34.0¢
- No$295 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 12.9¢
- No$88 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$79 @ 38.2¢
- Yes$43 @ 31.4¢
- No$138 @ 70.2¢
- No$49 @ 13.8¢
- No$795 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$51 @ 20.3¢
- Yes$125 @ 37.1¢
- No$540 @ 41.6¢
- No$582 @ 86.5¢
- No$112 @ 74.0¢
- No$150 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$271 @ 16.1¢
- M$5 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 25.7¢
- FURIA Esports$4 @ 1.0¢
- No$68 @ 67.1¢
- No$156 @ 56.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$960 @ 75.2¢
- No$860 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$836 @ 94.2¢
- Yes$771 @ 63.2¢
- Yes$761 @ 75.9¢
- No$752 @ 81.1¢
- No$740 @ 85.3¢
- No$617 @ 77.6¢
- No$606 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$561 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$546 @ 70.0¢
- No$528 @ 81.5¢
- Yes$506 @ 61.7¢
- No$498 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$494 @ 34.8¢
- Yes$492 @ 66.9¢
- No$458 @ 23.6¢
- Yes$458 @ 63.8¢
- No$441 @ 38.8¢
- No$430 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$381 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$345 @ 61.9¢
- Yes$332 @ 29.4¢
- No$328 @ 83.5¢
- No$322 @ 62.4¢
- No$313 @ 74.8¢
- No$309 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$307 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$305 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$293 @ 79.9¢