← Smart money
0xb581…0308
SharpEdge
+2.4pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
45% @ 42.7¢
Brier
0.212
Resolved
5498
Avg size
$23
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (750/1716) | +3% | 1716 |
| Sports | 51% (49/96) | +50% | 96 |
| Politics | 100% (4/4) | +46% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (3/3) | +63% | 3 |
- Other1716 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (750/1716)
- ROI
- +3%
- Sports96 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (49/96)
- ROI
- +50%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +46%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +63%
Track record
44% hit · 806/1819- Under$150 @ 50.0¢
- Under$92 @ 46.0¢
- Under$280 @ 50.9¢
- No$111 @ 78.4¢
- Yes$130 @ 55.0¢
- No$37 @ 57.0¢
- No$37 @ 45.0¢
- No$3 @ 39.0¢
- No$147 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$49 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 39.4¢
- No$27 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 12.7¢
- No$11 @ 47.0¢
- No$19 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$23 @ 37.2¢
- Yes$31 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
- No$109 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
- No$18 @ 66.7¢
- No$70 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 50.1¢
- No$14 @ 42.0¢
- No$13 @ 57.0¢
- No$168 @ 42.0¢
- No$80 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 88.6¢
- No$74 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 4.7¢
- No$16 @ 51.0¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 42.0¢
- No$37 @ 43.0¢
- No$52 @ 47.0¢
- No$9 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
- No$18 @ 54.0¢
- No$27 @ 54.0¢
- No$70 @ 70.0¢
- No$3 @ 47.0¢
- No$5 @ 80.0¢
- No$18 @ 88.0¢
- No$16 @ 81.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5 | — | Under | $280 | 50.9¢ |
| Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5 | — | Under | $150 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | Politics | No | $111 | 78.4¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | Crypto | Yes | $99 | 71.0¢ |
| Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5 | — | Under | $92 | 46.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | Crypto | No | $70 | 14.0¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Crypto | No | $51 | 21.0¢ |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Politics | No | $3 | 22.0¢ |
- Under$280 @ 50.9¢
- Under$150 @ 50.0¢
- No$111 @ 78.4¢
- Yes$99 @ 71.0¢
- Under$92 @ 46.0¢
- No$70 @ 14.0¢
- No$51 @ 21.0¢
- No$3 @ 22.0¢