0xb3b4…48b2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb3b449c88c717d1b4b799d351160d600162748b2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

46% @ 42.0¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

687

Avg size

$17

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (49/110)	+7%	110
Sports	30% (12/40)	-2%	40
Politics	37% (7/19)	+3%	19

Other110 bets
Hit rate
45% (49/110)
ROI
+7%
Sports40 bets
Hit rate
30% (12/40)
ROI
-2%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
37% (7/19)
ROI
+3%

Track record

40% hit · 68/169

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$18	1.7¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$5	10.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?	No	$81	83.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	$30	29.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	Yes	$212	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	$157	50.9¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$10	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	$377	84.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	Yes	$23	21.9¢	Won
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	$71	43.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$249	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?	Yes	$299	68.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	$234	77.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 15?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	$34	32.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	$12	11.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	$45	44.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	$140	64.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	$35	12.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$51	52.0¢	Won
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$9	16.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?	No	$58	58.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 19?	No	$76	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 23?	Yes	$56	27.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 22?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$44	89.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$73	8.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?	Yes	$63	62.7¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?	Yes	$120	58.8¢	Won
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$92	11.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	$15	14.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	No	$60	85.0¢	Won
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	$101	20.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	$17	16.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	$96	50.7¢	Lost
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$3	5.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	$57	55.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	$41	39.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	$24	10.6¢	Lost

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$18 @ 1.7¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?Won
No$81 @ 83.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?Won
Yes$30 @ 29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?Won
Yes$212 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$157 @ 50.9¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?Won
Yes$377 @ 84.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?Won
Yes$23 @ 21.9¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$71 @ 43.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$249 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Won
Yes$299 @ 68.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?Won
Yes$234 @ 77.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?Won
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?Lost
Yes$34 @ 32.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$12 @ 11.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?Won
Yes$45 @ 44.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?Won
Yes$140 @ 64.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?Lost
Yes$35 @ 12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?Won
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$51 @ 52.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$9 @ 16.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?Won
No$58 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 19?Won
No$76 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$56 @ 27.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 22?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$44 @ 89.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$73 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?Won
Yes$63 @ 62.7¢
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?Won
Yes$120 @ 58.8¢
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$92 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$15 @ 14.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$60 @ 85.0¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$101 @ 20.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$17 @ 16.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$96 @ 50.7¢
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?Won
Yes$57 @ 55.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?Won
Yes$41 @ 39.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Lost
Yes$24 @ 10.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$204	95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17?	—	Yes	$72	44.7¢
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$60	60.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	25.0¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$204 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17?—
Yes$72 @ 44.7¢
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?—
No$60 @ 60.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 25.0¢