← Smart money
0xaac2…e8ce
SharpROI
+20%
Win rate
93%
Brier
0.092
Resolved
174
Avg size
$236
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +4% | 1 |
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +4%
Track record
100% hit · 1/1| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | No | $106 | 96.1¢ | Won |
- No$106 @ 96.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $2.6k | 71.3¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Politics | No | $685 | 99.5¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Politics | No | $497 | 99.4¢ |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $203 | 9.2¢ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Politics | No | $17 | 86.9¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Politics | No | $9 | 93.0¢ |
- No$2.6k @ 71.3¢
- No$685 @ 99.5¢
- No$497 @ 99.4¢
- Yes$203 @ 9.2¢
- No$17 @ 86.9¢
- No$9 @ 93.0¢