← Smart money
0xa8fc…6462
SharpEdge
+37.9pp
ROI
+76%
Win rate
96% @ 58.5¢
Brier
0.200
Resolved
56
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +79% | 3 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +61% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +79%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +61%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
83% hit · 5/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | $3 | 76.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | $1 | 61.2¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $2 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | $2 | 53.4¢ | Lost |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $46 | 52.5¢ | Won |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | $2 | 62.5¢ | Won |
- Yes$3 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 61.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 89.0¢
- No$2 @ 53.4¢
- Yes$46 @ 52.5¢
- No$2 @ 62.5¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 95.0¢ |
- Yes$1 @ 95.0¢