← Smart money
0x9e9f…1d38
SharpEdge
+13.6pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
44% @ 30.1¢
Brier
0.073
Resolved
96
Avg size
$461
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 60% (3/5) | +1% | 5 |
| Other | 67% (2/3) | +28% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +1%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
Track record
67% hit · 6/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? | No | $17 | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | $428 | 84.0¢ | Won |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | $3.9k | 42.9¢ | Won |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting? | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | $34.0k | 86.2¢ | Won |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $77 | 10.4¢ | Lost |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1.8k | 36.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | Yes | $415 | 74.7¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | $3.6k | 66.7¢ | Won |
- No$17 @ 87.0¢
- No$428 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 42.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
- No$34.0k @ 86.2¢
- Yes$77 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 36.0¢
- Yes$415 @ 74.7¢
- No$3.6k @ 66.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…