← Smart money
0x9e83…9394
SharpROI
+45%
Win rate
3%
Brier
0.024
Resolved
1241
Avg size
$1
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +300% | 1 |
- Science5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +300%
Track record
17% hit · 1/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7? | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | Lost |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | Lost |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $3 | 25.0¢ | Won |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2? | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ | Lost |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 2? | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | Lost |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 29? | Yes | $8 | 1.7¢ | Lost |
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$286 @ 81.7¢
- No$284 @ 87.0¢
- No$188 @ 93.8¢
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$170 @ 85.0¢
- No$145 @ 85.8¢
- No$74 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
- No$38 @ 75.0¢
- No$33 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.7¢
- No$21 @ 71.0¢
- No$20 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$13 @ 8.3¢
- No$13 @ 63.0¢
- No$9 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$8 @ 2.8¢
- Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$5 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- No$3 @ 65.0¢
- No$3 @ 64.0¢
- No$3 @ 62.0¢
- No$3 @ 62.0¢
- No$3 @ 60.0¢
- No$3 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.1¢