0x9551…8c45

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x955118f2d3c3ab2976e7294166832428a7898c45
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.7pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

77% @ 67.0¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

206

Avg size

$40

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	76% (37/49)	+26%	49
Politics	90% (9/10)	+20%	10
Culture	100% (3/3)	+17%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	-66%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	-50%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other49 bets
Hit rate
76% (37/49)
ROI
+26%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
+20%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+17%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-66%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-50%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

78% hit · 53/68

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	$7	86.9¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$150	50.0¢	Won
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	$20	44.9¢	Lost
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	$29	63.5¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$801	66.7¢	Won
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	No	$87	75.3¢	Won
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	$23	52.1¢	Lost
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	Yes	$37	36.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$22	48.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.5k	74.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$195	19.5¢	Lost
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	$50	83.0¢	Won
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?	No	$329	88.9¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	Patrick Kypson	$81	67.9¢	Won
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?	No	$2	75.2¢	Won
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?	No	$32	70.2¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska	Anastasia Zakharova	$15	77.2¢	Won
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	$92	55.9¢	Lost
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	$18	87.0¢	Won
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?	No	$40	89.5¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	$39	87.3¢	Won
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	No	$299	69.0¢	Won
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	No	$12	64.9¢	Won
Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?	No	$1	72.1¢	Won
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	No	$79	87.5¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	$65	66.5¢	Lost
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	$82	87.8¢	Won
Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	$0	86.9¢	Won
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?	No	$233	77.3¢	Won
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$5	75.0¢	Won
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$320	64.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$177	59.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	$80	4.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$56	43.0¢	Lost
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	$44	88.9¢	Won
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	$37	83.0¢	Won
Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	$0	85.9¢	Won
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	$18	81.7¢	Won
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	$42	76.5¢	Lost
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	$33	74.2¢	Won
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	$120	89.2¢	Won
76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	$50	23.1¢	Lost
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?	No	$36	39.5¢	Won
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	$20	40.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	$46	73.8¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	$24	53.8¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$103	59.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	$60	67.0¢	Won
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	$8	58.8¢	Won
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	$46	51.0¢	Won

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Won
No$7 @ 86.9¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$150 @ 50.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
No$20 @ 44.9¢
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Won
No$29 @ 63.5¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$801 @ 66.7¢
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Won
No$87 @ 75.3¢
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?Lost
Yes$23 @ 52.1¢
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?Lost
Yes$37 @ 36.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$22 @ 48.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 74.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$195 @ 19.5¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 83.0¢
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?Won
No$329 @ 88.9¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington JonesWon
Patrick Kypson$81 @ 67.9¢
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Won
No$2 @ 75.2¢
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Won
No$32 @ 70.2¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana YastremskaWon
Anastasia Zakharova$15 @ 77.2¢
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Lost
Yes$92 @ 55.9¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Won
No$18 @ 87.0¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Won
No$40 @ 89.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?Won
No$39 @ 87.3¢
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Won
No$299 @ 69.0¢
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Won
No$12 @ 64.9¢
Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?Won
No$1 @ 72.1¢
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Won
No$79 @ 87.5¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
No$65 @ 66.5¢
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?Won
No$82 @ 87.8¢
Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?Won
No$0 @ 86.9¢
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$233 @ 77.3¢
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
Yes$320 @ 64.0¢
Raptors vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$177 @ 59.0¢
Raptors vs. CavaliersLost
Raptors$80 @ 4.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$56 @ 43.0¢
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Won
No$44 @ 88.9¢
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Won
No$37 @ 83.0¢
Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Won
No$0 @ 85.9¢
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Won
No$18 @ 81.7¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas RuizLost
Ethan Quinn$42 @ 76.5¢
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Won
Yes$33 @ 74.2¢
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Won
No$120 @ 89.2¢
76ers vs. KnicksLost
76ers$50 @ 23.1¢
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Won
No$36 @ 39.5¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
Nongshim Red Force$20 @ 40.0¢
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?Won
No$46 @ 73.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Lost
No$24 @ 53.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Won
Yes$103 @ 59.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
No$60 @ 67.0¢
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?Won
No$8 @ 58.8¢
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Won
Yes$46 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.4k	91.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$175	96.5¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$58	64.2¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Politics	No	$45	61.0¢
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$41	90.4¢
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$38	85.2¢
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	Politics	No	$30	85.4¢
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Politics	No	$5	92.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$4	81.0¢
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	Culture	Yes	$4	93.0¢
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$4	78.0¢
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?	Tech	No	$3	69.4¢
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$3	71.6¢
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	No	$2	89.4¢
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?	Sports	No	$2	55.4¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	83.3¢
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Politics	No	$2	81.3¢
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?	Politics	Yes	$1	92.4¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.4k @ 91.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$175 @ 96.5¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$58 @ 64.2¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics
No$45 @ 61.0¢
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto
Yes$41 @ 90.4¢
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$38 @ 85.2¢
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Politics
No$30 @ 85.4¢
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture
Yes$4 @ 93.0¢
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech
No$3 @ 69.4¢
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$3 @ 71.6¢
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
No$2 @ 89.4¢
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?Sports
No$2 @ 55.4¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 83.3¢
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics
No$2 @ 81.3¢
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 92.4¢