0x9551…8c45

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other50 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (38/50)

  ROI

  +26%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (11/13)

  ROI

  +19%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +17%

• Crypto3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -66%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -50%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +20%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +8%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +13%

• Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Won
  Yes$1 @ 92.4¢
• Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Lost
  No$30 @ 85.4¢
• Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$4 @ 92.5¢
• Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$2 @ 88.4¢
• Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Won
  No$7 @ 86.9¢
• Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
  No$150 @ 50.0¢
• Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
  No$20 @ 44.9¢
• Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Won
  No$29 @ 63.5¢
• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
  Yes$801 @ 66.7¢
• Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Won
  No$87 @ 75.3¢
• Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 52.1¢
• Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 36.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?Won
  Yes$91 @ 80.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$1.5k @ 74.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$195 @ 19.5¢
• Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$50 @ 83.0¢
• Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?Won
  No$329 @ 88.9¢
• Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington JonesWon
  Patrick Kypson$81 @ 67.9¢
• Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Won
  No$2 @ 75.2¢
• Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Won
  No$32 @ 70.2¢
• Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana YastremskaWon
  Anastasia Zakharova$15 @ 77.2¢
• Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Lost
  Yes$92 @ 55.9¢
• Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Won
  No$40 @ 89.5¢
• Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?Won
  No$39 @ 87.3¢
• Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Won
  No$299 @ 69.0¢
• Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Won
  No$12 @ 64.9¢
• Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?Won
  No$1 @ 72.1¢
• Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Won
  No$79 @ 87.5¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
  No$65 @ 66.5¢
• Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?Won
  No$43 @ 87.1¢
• Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?Won
  No$0 @ 86.9¢
• Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?Won
  No$233 @ 77.3¢
• Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$5 @ 75.0¢
• Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
  Yes$320 @ 64.0¢
• Raptors vs. CavaliersWon
  Cavaliers$177 @ 59.0¢
• Raptors vs. CavaliersLost
  Raptors$80 @ 4.0¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
  Yes$56 @ 43.0¢
• Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Won
  No$44 @ 88.9¢
• Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Won
  No$37 @ 83.0¢
• Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Won
  No$0 @ 85.9¢
• Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas RuizLost
  Ethan Quinn$42 @ 76.5¢
• Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Won
  Yes$33 @ 74.2¢
• Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Won
  No$120 @ 89.2¢
• 76ers vs. KnicksLost
  76ers$50 @ 23.1¢
• Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Won
  No$36 @ 39.5¢
• LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
  Nongshim Red Force$20 @ 40.0¢
• Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?Won
  No$46 @ 73.8¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Lost
  No$24 @ 53.8¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Won
  Yes$103 @ 59.0¢
• Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
  No$60 @ 67.0¢

Current positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 91.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$175 @ 96.5¢
• Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$58 @ 64.2¢
• Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics
  No$45 @ 61.0¢
• Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto
  Yes$41 @ 90.4¢
• Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$38 @ 85.2¢
• James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Politics
  No$5 @ 92.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 81.0¢
• Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture
  Yes$4 @ 93.0¢
• Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Tech
  No$4 @ 78.0¢
• Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech
  No$3 @ 69.4¢
• Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech
  No$3 @ 71.6¢
• Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  No$2 @ 89.4¢
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$2 @ 83.3¢
• Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics
  No$2 @ 81.3¢