← Smart money
0x9449…d829
SharpEdge
+5.2pp
ROI
+541%
Win rate
9% @ 3.6¢
Brier
0.073
Resolved
1737
Avg size
$106
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 10% (12/116) | -65% | 116 |
| Sports | 5% (4/88) | +749% | 88 |
| Politics | 0% (0/15) | -100% | 15 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
- Other116 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (12/116)
- ROI
- -65%
- Sports88 bets
- Hit rate
- 5% (4/88)
- ROI
- +749%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/15)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
7% hit · 16/228- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$999 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$74 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$660 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$43 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 0.3¢
- Yes$435 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 4.6¢
- Yes$163 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$135 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$31 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$70 @ 0.9¢
- No$465 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 2.6¢
- Yes$203 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 3.2¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$867 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 2.8¢
- Yes$46 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$94 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$273 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$442 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 3.6¢
- Yes$375 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$822 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$438 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$52 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$599 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 1.5¢
- Essex$43 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$211 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$641 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$8.7k @ 1.5¢
- Yes$115 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 0.3¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ |
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢