← Smart money
0x9163…0cab
SharpEdge
+4.2pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
42% @ 37.6¢
Brier
0.144
Resolved
657
Avg size
$19
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 60% (122/205) | +16% | 205 |
| Other | 41% (48/118) | -5% | 118 |
| Politics | 46% (6/13) | +3% | 13 |
| Tech | 60% (3/5) | -3% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +10% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports205 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (122/205)
- ROI
- +16%
- Other118 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (48/118)
- ROI
- -5%
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +3%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -3%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +10%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
52% hit · 180/344- Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
- No$25 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 76.3¢
- No$20 @ 39.0¢
- Over$14 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 11.4¢
- No$90 @ 89.9¢
- Yes$43 @ 85.0¢
- No$38 @ 37.0¢
- No$37 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.7¢
- No$15 @ 74.0¢
- No$2 @ 61.0¢
- No$79 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$174 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$32 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$84 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
- No$15 @ 76.8¢
- Over$5 @ 49.0¢
- No$64 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- Over$9 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
- No$29 @ 58.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 10.5¢
- No$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$83 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$64 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$47 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$39 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$22 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
- Discord IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$11 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
- No$7 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$5 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢