0x90a0…7e0a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x90a0774c37e43c03116917adf3563aee1eb67e0a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.9pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

59% @ 45.2¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

2525

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (398/605)	+20%	605
Politics	60% (6/10)	-51%	10
Tech	50% (1/2)	-21%	2
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other605 bets
Hit rate
66% (398/605)
ROI
+20%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
-51%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-21%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

65% hit · 405/619

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	$45	91.1¢	Won
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	$17	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?	Yes	$101	31.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$200	57.0¢	Won
Will the 2026 State of the Union have between 43M and 45M viewers?	No	$433	86.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$62	56.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Border" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?	Yes	$96	64.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Seahawks	Colts	$240	12.0¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?	No	$151	72.0¢	Lost
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	$17	3.9¢	Won
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during speech on October 14?	Yes	$195	65.0¢	Won
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	$87	17.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?	No	$149	46.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?	No	$108	82.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?	No	$8	71.0¢	Won
Will Sidemen's next video get between 6.0–7.0 million views on week 1?	Yes	$140	33.8¢	Lost
Trump x Xi talk before July?	No	$37	37.0¢	Lost
Trump x Xi talk before July?	Yes	$37	57.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?	No	$53	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?	Yes	$22	74.0¢	Won
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	No	$103	59.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?	No	$112	74.8¢	Won
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Satoshi" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	No	$87	43.5¢	Lost
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?	No	$38	69.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?	No	$35	48.3¢	Won
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	$21	15.5¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	No	$171	57.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$201	79.8¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$525	5.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$48	47.7¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?	Yes	$186	14.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$335	55.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$96	80.6¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?	No	$163	46.6¢	Lost
Will Bernie Sanders say "Alexandria" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?	No	$90	80.0¢	Won
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$38	62.7¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift say "Super Bowl" during Tonight Show on October 6?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Enemy" 5+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?	No	$64	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump pardon Gobble?	Yes	$216	68.0¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?	No	$63	12.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Netanyahu" or "Bibi" during his May 13 interview?	No	$21	78.9¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?	No	$9	53.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?	No	$33	83.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?	Yes	$57	87.1¢	Won
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	No	$1.4k	55.8¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?	No	$235	68.0¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?	No	$35	88.0¢	Won
Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?	No	$205	37.2¢	Won

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Won
No$45 @ 91.1¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Won
No$17 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Lost
Yes$101 @ 31.0¢
Rams vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$200 @ 57.0¢
Will the 2026 State of the Union have between 43M and 45M viewers?Won
No$433 @ 86.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire before July? Won
No$62 @ 56.8¢
Will Trump say "Border" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?Won
Yes$96 @ 64.0¢
Colts vs. SeahawksLost
Colts$240 @ 12.0¢
Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Lost
No$151 @ 72.0¢
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Won
No$17 @ 3.9¢
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during speech on October 14?Won
Yes$195 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?Won
No$87 @ 17.4¢
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Lost
No$149 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Won
No$108 @ 82.9¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?Won
No$8 @ 71.0¢
Will Sidemen's next video get between 6.0–7.0 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$140 @ 33.8¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Lost
No$37 @ 37.0¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Won
Yes$37 @ 57.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Won
No$53 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump say "Egg" or "Beef" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?Won
Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Won
No$103 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?Won
No$112 @ 74.8¢
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Satoshi" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Lost
No$87 @ 43.5¢
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Won
No$38 @ 69.0¢
Will NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?Won
No$35 @ 48.3¢
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Won
No$21 @ 15.5¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Won
No$171 @ 57.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$201 @ 79.8¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$525 @ 5.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
No$48 @ 47.7¢
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Won
Yes$186 @ 14.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$335 @ 55.8¢
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$96 @ 80.6¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Lost
No$163 @ 46.6¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Alexandria" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Won
No$90 @ 80.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$38 @ 62.7¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Super Bowl" during Tonight Show on October 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump say "Enemy" 5+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?Won
No$64 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump pardon Gobble?Won
Yes$216 @ 68.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Lost
No$63 @ 12.3¢
Will Trump say "Netanyahu" or "Bibi" during his May 13 interview?Won
No$21 @ 78.9¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?Lost
No$9 @ 53.0¢
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?Lost
No$33 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Won
Yes$57 @ 87.1¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Lost
No$1.4k @ 55.8¢
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?Won
No$235 @ 68.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?Won
No$35 @ 88.0¢
Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?Won
No$205 @ 37.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$889	28.2¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	No	$278	27.0¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$185	67.1¢
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$149	74.3¢
Discord IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$36	36.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$20	9.9¢

OpenAI IPO before 2027?Business
No$889 @ 28.2¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
No$278 @ 27.0¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$185 @ 67.1¢
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Business
No$149 @ 74.3¢
Discord IPO before 2027?Business
No$36 @ 36.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 9.9¢