← Smart money
0x8dc9…434f
SharpEdge
-28.8pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
23% @ 51.4¢
Brier
0.183
Resolved
31
Avg size
$1.5k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +30% | 2 |
| Other | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +30%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
20% hit · 1/5| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winner | Phantom Academy | $810 | 48.1¢ | Lost |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $42.0k | 71.7¢ | Won |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner | Aurora Gaming | $207 | 27.9¢ | Lost |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | $52 | 10.0¢ | Lost |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | $3.2k | 41.7¢ | Lost |
- Phantom Academy$810 @ 48.1¢
- Yes$42.0k @ 71.7¢
- Aurora Gaming$207 @ 27.9¢
- Aurora Gaming$52 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 41.7¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | No | $14.2k | 71.7¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $13.3k | 81.3¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Politics | No | $12.2k | 79.7¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $5.8k | 72.9¢ |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | Politics | No | $5.0k | 86.9¢ |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | Politics | No | $2.1k | 90.8¢ |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | Politics | No | $1.3k | 87.8¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | Politics | No | $435 | 89.8¢ |
- No$14.2k @ 71.7¢
- No$13.3k @ 81.3¢
- No$12.2k @ 79.7¢
- No$5.8k @ 72.9¢
- No$5.0k @ 86.9¢
- No$2.1k @ 90.8¢
- No$1.3k @ 87.8¢
- No$435 @ 89.8¢