0x89c2…7ce4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x89c2f52b95fbc2367c32b5093ef6774d77b47ce4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+18.4pp

ROI

+85%

Win rate

28% @ 9.1¢

Brier

0.226

Resolved

149

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	16% (3/19)	+327%	19
Other	6% (1/17)	-72%	17
Geopolitics	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Politics19 bets
Hit rate
16% (3/19)
ROI
+327%
Other17 bets
Hit rate
6% (1/17)
ROI
-72%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

9% hit · 4/47

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	$3	1.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	$32	11.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$3	2.5¢	Lost
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$52	9.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$15	14.0¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$71	13.3¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	$25	16.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	No	$10	2.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	$58	3.0¢	Lost
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$32	13.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	$25	14.9¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	$40	2.3¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$100	13.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$2	6.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	$9	0.5¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	$12	41.3¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$73	61.0¢	Won
Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?	Yes	$0	11.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	18.0¢	Lost
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	$11	5.5¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$88	28.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	$25	8.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$17	2.9¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	6.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5	Over	$1	11.9¢	Lost
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$52	7.3¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	$15	9.4¢	Lost
Will Netanyahu say "Settler" or "Settlement" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	$5	21.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$17	1.2¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$36	6.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	$8	4.9¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	$14	2.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	$5	3.3¢	Lost
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	$5	28.0¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?	Yes	$19	48.0¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$139	7.6¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	$7	0.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Lost
No$32 @ 11.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
No$3 @ 2.5¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Lost
Yes$52 @ 9.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$15 @ 14.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$71 @ 13.3¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Lost
Yes$25 @ 16.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Lost
No$10 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Lost
No$58 @ 3.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
Yes$32 @ 13.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Lost
Yes$25 @ 14.9¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$40 @ 2.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.3¢
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Lost
No$12 @ 41.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$73 @ 61.0¢
Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 11.0¢
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Lost
No$11 @ 5.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$88 @ 28.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Lost
Yes$25 @ 8.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$17 @ 2.9¢
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.6¢
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$1 @ 11.9¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$52 @ 7.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Lost
Yes$15 @ 9.4¢
Will Netanyahu say "Settler" or "Settlement" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Won
Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.2¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$36 @ 6.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.9¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.3¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Lost
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Lost
Yes$19 @ 48.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Won
No$139 @ 7.6¢
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Lost
No$7 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$206	4.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$98	23.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$43	7.2¢
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$29	9.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	Yes	$25	10.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Politics	Yes	$25	10.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$9	6.0¢

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$206 @ 4.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
No$98 @ 23.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$43 @ 7.2¢
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$29 @ 9.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
Yes$25 @ 10.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
Yes$25 @ 10.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$9 @ 6.0¢