0x891c…e455

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x891c78dd395fe24ad2148c64377fdabe5cf1e455
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.6pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

80% @ 67.8¢

Brier

0.103

Resolved

347

Avg size

$37

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (56/95)	+12%	95
Crypto	92% (61/66)	+7%	66
Politics	93% (27/29)	+26%	29
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other95 bets
Hit rate
59% (56/95)
ROI
+12%
Crypto66 bets
Hit rate
92% (61/66)
ROI
+7%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
93% (27/29)
ROI
+26%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

75% hit · 144/192

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 15?	No	$4	89.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	$416	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	No	$4	89.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on October 12?	No	$5	97.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 12?	No	$5	97.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?	No	$5	96.2¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11?	No	$5	95.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 11?	No	$5	94.7¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 28?	No	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	$194	85.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	$175	78.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?	No	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 5?	No	$2	40.0¢	Won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	$3	58.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	$3	64.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	$4	81.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$5	47.9¢	Won
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko	Noemi Basiletti	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	No	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	$3	68.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $85 on May 4?	No	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$5	82.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 29?	No	$3	61.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	$176	81.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$22	2.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 28?	No	$2	39.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$5	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	$4	70.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 19?	No	$4	76.7¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	No	$2	31.0¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	$50	30.0¢	Lost
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	$42	84.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	$290	82.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 29?	No	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	$999	68.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	$90	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?	No	$4	40.0¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$48	26.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above 73,800 on April 19, 8PM ET?	No	$3	64.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9?	No	$4	89.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 28?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 29?	No	$4	89.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 13?	No	$4	88.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $85 on April 1?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $85 on April 8?	No	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	$4	80.0¢	Lost

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 15?Won
No$4 @ 89.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?Won
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Won
No$416 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?Won
No$4 @ 89.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on October 12?Won
No$5 @ 97.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 12?Won
No$5 @ 97.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?Won
No$5 @ 96.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11?Won
No$5 @ 95.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 11?Won
No$5 @ 94.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 28?Lost
No$2 @ 39.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Won
No$194 @ 85.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Won
No$175 @ 78.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?Won
No$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 5?Won
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Lost
Tampa Bay Rays$3 @ 58.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?Won
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Won
No$5 @ 47.9¢
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara LepchenkoLost
Noemi Basiletti$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?Lost
No$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Won
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Will Solana reach $85 on May 4?Lost
No$0 @ 1.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 82.0¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Won
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 29?Lost
No$3 @ 61.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
No$176 @ 81.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$22 @ 2.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 28?Won
No$2 @ 39.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Lost
No$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 19?Won
No$4 @ 76.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?Won
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$50 @ 30.0¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Won
No$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Won
No$290 @ 82.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 29?Lost
No$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Won
No$999 @ 68.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Won
No$90 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?Lost
No$4 @ 40.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$48 @ 26.0¢
Bitcoin above 73,800 on April 19, 8PM ET?Lost
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9?Won
No$4 @ 89.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 28?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 29?Lost
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 13?Lost
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will Solana reach $85 on April 1?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Solana reach $85 on April 8?Lost
No$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Lost
No$4 @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.0k	84.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 15?	Crypto	No	$4	89.4¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	Crypto	No	$4	88.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Crypto	No	$4	86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	Crypto	No	$4	78.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	12.0¢

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 15?Crypto
No$4 @ 89.4¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Crypto
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Crypto
No$4 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?Crypto
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢