← Smart money
0x88e3…384e
SharpEdge
+10.1pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
59% @ 48.9¢
Brier
0.105
Resolved
886
Avg size
$231
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 34% (19/56) | -30% | 56 |
| Politics | 48% (16/33) | +28% | 33 |
| Other | 26% (5/19) | -97% | 19 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Sports56 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (19/56)
- ROI
- -30%
- Politics33 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (16/33)
- ROI
- +28%
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 26% (5/19)
- ROI
- -97%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
36% hit · 40/110- Yes$99 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$429 @ 42.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 34.0¢
- No$1 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
- Over$51 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 66.1¢
- No$74.3k @ 65.8¢
- Yes$803 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$8.4k @ 18.2¢
- Yes$71 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$711 @ 0.1¢
- Netherlands$61 @ 51.3¢
- No$17.4k @ 83.7¢
- Yes$101 @ 54.0¢
- No$1 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 64.7¢
- No$507 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 49.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$203 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$659 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 26.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 18.0¢
- No$40 @ 21.3¢
- No$51 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 76.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.0¢
- No$103 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 12.8¢
- No$509 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$52 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$183 @ 6.1¢
- No$22.1k @ 73.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$360 @ 39.9¢
- No$201 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 42.4¢
- Yes$146 @ 26.3¢
- No$577 @ 89.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 28.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $19.1k | 57.3¢ |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $83 | 0.2¢ |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 11.0¢ |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 43.0¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1 | 46.0¢ |
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$19.1k @ 57.3¢
- Yes$83 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 46.0¢