← Smart money
0x8718…d6dd
SharpEdge
+19.4pp
ROI
+19%
Win rate
34% @ 14.2¢
Brier
0.210
Resolved
541
Avg size
$57
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 43% (3/7) | +128% | 7 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | +33% | 2 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +128%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
44% hit · 4/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $502 | 0.5¢ | Lost |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $9 | 0.3¢ | Lost |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | Won |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $137 | 2.0¢ | Lost |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | Yes | $7.2k | 13.4¢ | Lost |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $4.6k | 18.0¢ | Won |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $2.1k | 28.1¢ | Won |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | $279 | 10.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $1.6k | 43.4¢ | Won |
- Yes$502 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$7.2k @ 13.4¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 18.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 28.1¢
- Yes$279 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 43.4¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $477 | 0.5¢ |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.4¢ |
- Yes$477 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$17 @ 0.4¢