0x82cf…0998

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x82cf2b31d18fca19830e216b98cffa5dbc6c0998
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.7pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

35% @ 23.3¢

Brier

0.123

Resolved

1679

Avg size

$147

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (111/281)	+26%	281
Politics	57% (4/7)	+41%	7
Sports	67% (4/6)	+21%	6
Crypto	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other281 bets
Hit rate
40% (111/281)
ROI
+26%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+41%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+21%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 119/298

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Chicago Cubs	$83	78.2¢	Won
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	$1.6k	55.9¢	Lost
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$1.2k	64.8¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$11	1.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$4.7k	86.4¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$4.6k	57.0¢	Won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 4.5	Over	$34	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$324	13.5¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1.9k	66.4¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?	No	$72	0.5¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$517	23.0¢	Lost
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?	No	$145	3.5¢	Won
Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs 6Targets Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage	Barbie Boys	$204	74.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	$125	14.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?	Yes	$400	85.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	$3	1.4¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	No	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	$790	79.0¢	Won
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	$317	9.0¢	Lost
No token launch by March 31	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$26	43.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	$10.3k	50.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	Yes	$1.9k	30.8¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$40	5.8¢	Lost
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	$90	56.6¢	Won
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	No	$2.5k	42.8¢	Won
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$8.3k	56.5¢	Lost
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	$17	0.1¢	Lost
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$30	0.6¢	Lost
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	$549	29.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs ALGO Esports (BO3)	ex-GANK Esports	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 2 Winner	BALU	$618	65.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)	LOS	$21	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	No	$275	55.0¢	Won
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-06?	Yes	$48	0.6¢	Lost
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	No	$503	3.9¢	Lost
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	$206	62.8¢	Won
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$47	0.9¢	Lost
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$3.4k	18.0¢	Lost
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5	Under	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?	No	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)	HOTU	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$6	0.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	$20	0.4¢	Lost

Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: Draw at halftime?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Won
Chicago Cubs$83 @ 78.2¢
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Lost
No$1.6k @ 55.9¢
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 64.8¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Lost
No$11 @ 1.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$4.7k @ 86.4¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$4.6k @ 57.0¢
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$34 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Lost
Yes$324 @ 13.5¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 66.4¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?Lost
No$72 @ 0.5¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Lost
Yes$517 @ 23.0¢
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?Won
No$145 @ 3.5¢
Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs 6Targets Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group StageWon
Barbie Boys$204 @ 74.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Won
Yes$125 @ 14.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?Won
Yes$400 @ 85.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Lost
No$1 @ 0.3¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$790 @ 79.0¢
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Lost
Yes$317 @ 9.0¢
No token launch by March 31Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
No$26 @ 43.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Won
No$10.3k @ 50.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 30.8¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$40 @ 5.8¢
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?Won
Yes$90 @ 56.6¢
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?Won
No$2.5k @ 42.8¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$8.3k @ 56.5¢
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.1¢
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$30 @ 0.6¢
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Lost
Yes$549 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs ALGO Esports (BO3)Lost
ex-GANK Esports$3 @ 2.0¢
Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 2 WinnerWon
BALU$618 @ 65.0¢
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)Lost
LOS$21 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?Won
No$275 @ 55.0¢
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-06?Lost
Yes$48 @ 0.6¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Lost
No$503 @ 3.9¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Won
No$206 @ 62.8¢
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$47 @ 0.9¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$3.4k @ 18.0¢
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?Lost
No$0 @ 1.1¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)Lost
HOTU$10 @ 1.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Under$6 @ 0.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Politics	Yes	$4.1k	35.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$89	41.6¢

Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Politics
Yes$4.1k @ 35.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Politics
Yes$89 @ 41.6¢