← Smart money
0x7daf…3b90
ProfitableROI
+72%
Win rate
36%
Brier
0.191
Resolved
36
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
Track record accruing — per-sphere edge appears as markets resolve.
Track record
No resolved bets captured yet.
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $19 | 1.5¢ |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Tech | No | $8 | 4.3¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.1¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.9¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.7¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 15.8¢ |
- Yes$19 @ 1.5¢
- No$8 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.8¢