0x7daf…3b90

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7daf0de256f097ea9a9b23c6268f02d82eca3b90
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.9pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

30% @ 14.5¢

Brier

0.161

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	29% (4/14)	-12%	14
Politics	33% (1/3)	+3%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+662%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
-12%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+3%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+662%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 6/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$5	32.5¢	Won
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Under	$6	59.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$16	3.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$21	2.4¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	$5	3.5¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$23	42.9¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$11	5.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	Yes	$5	8.6¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	6.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	$5	83.0¢	Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5	Under	$7	48.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$15	2.6¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$4	10.8¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	$11	3.6¢	Lost

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$5 @ 32.5¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Won
Under$6 @ 59.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$16 @ 3.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$21 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 3.5¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$23 @ 42.9¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$11 @ 5.3¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 6.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Lost
No$5 @ 83.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Won
Under$7 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Lost
No$15 @ 2.6¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$4 @ 10.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$10	41.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	—	No	$5	24.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?—
No$5 @ 24.0¢