0x7c8b…a211

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7c8b2af934eed0bad9b7437e927ef09c0ebca211
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+51%

Win rate

61% @ 53.7¢

Brier

0.221

Resolved

1043

Avg size

$89

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (137/249)	+55%	249
Politics	44% (7/16)	-20%	16
Geopolitics	40% (4/10)	+35%	10

Other249 bets
Hit rate
55% (137/249)
ROI
+55%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
44% (7/16)
ROI
-20%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+35%

Track record

54% hit · 148/275

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?	No	$89	82.6¢	Won
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Lost
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?	Yes	$32	38.4¢	Won
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?	No	$67	67.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$3	54.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	Yes	$846	52.6¢	Won
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?	No	$12	58.8¢	Won
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?	Yes	$9	44.0¢	Lost
Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?	No	$3	84.0¢	Lost
Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	Yes	$132	32.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$141	63.9¢	Lost
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?	No	$2	75.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?	No	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?	No	$73	84.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?	Yes	$158	79.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$165	34.6¢	Lost
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?	Yes	$41	17.0¢	Lost
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the Speed Chess Championship?	Yes	$2	5.4¢	Lost
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$1	59.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	Yes	$4.3k	75.2¢	Won
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?	No	$172	21.7¢	Lost
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?	No	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$17	34.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	Yes	$2.1k	64.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$186	10.7¢	Lost
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?	Yes	$8	3.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?	No	$12	1.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?	Yes	$112	42.7¢	Won
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?	Yes	$54	47.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	$649	73.2¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	Yes	$243	27.9¢	Lost
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	No	$637	80.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	Yes	$422	40.5¢	Lost
Will Inter Miami vs. Orlando City end in a draw?	No	$4	76.0¢	Won
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?	Yes	$450	70.8¢	Won
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Orlando City beat Inter Milan?	No	$4	75.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$149	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on May 10?	No	$5	47.0¢	Lost
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Ding	$43	31.4¢	Lost
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Gukesh	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	No	$20	0.4¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?	Yes	$1.2k	50.7¢	Won
2024 October hottest on record?	No	$214	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?	Yes	$235	70.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?	Yes	$90	31.7¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$126	88.8¢	Won

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Won
No$89 @ 82.6¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?Won
Yes$32 @ 38.4¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?Won
No$67 @ 67.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$3 @ 54.9¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Won
Yes$846 @ 52.6¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?Won
No$12 @ 58.8¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?Lost
Yes$9 @ 44.0¢
Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?Lost
No$3 @ 84.0¢
Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Lost
Yes$132 @ 32.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$141 @ 63.9¢
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?Lost
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Lost
No$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Won
No$73 @ 84.7¢
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Lost
Yes$158 @ 79.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$165 @ 34.6¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?Lost
Yes$41 @ 17.0¢
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the Speed Chess Championship?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.4¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Won
No$1 @ 59.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 75.2¢
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?Lost
No$172 @ 21.7¢
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?Won
No$2 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$17 @ 34.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 64.8¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$186 @ 10.7¢
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?Lost
No$12 @ 1.1¢
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?Won
Yes$112 @ 42.7¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Won
Yes$54 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Lost
Yes$649 @ 73.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Lost
Yes$243 @ 27.9¢
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Lost
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Won
No$637 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Lost
Yes$422 @ 40.5¢
Will Inter Miami vs. Orlando City end in a draw?Won
No$4 @ 76.0¢
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?Won
Yes$450 @ 70.8¢
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Orlando City beat Inter Milan?Lost
No$4 @ 75.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$149 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on May 10?Lost
No$5 @ 47.0¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerLost
Ding$43 @ 31.4¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerWon
Gukesh$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Lost
No$20 @ 0.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 50.7¢
2024 October hottest on record?Won
No$214 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?Won
Yes$235 @ 70.1¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Lost
Yes$90 @ 31.7¢
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$126 @ 88.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$374	18.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$363	90.0¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Tech	No	$248	93.3¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$239	81.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$172	61.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$12	96.4¢

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$374 @ 18.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Geopolitics
No$363 @ 90.0¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Tech
No$248 @ 93.3¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$239 @ 81.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$172 @ 61.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$12 @ 96.4¢