0x7787…d002

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics54 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (22/54)

  ROI

  +11%

• Other20 bets

  Hit rate

  35% (7/20)

  ROI

  -27%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  17% (1/6)

  ROI

  -87%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +1900%

• Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Won
  No$279 @ 86.6¢
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 7.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 4.3¢
• Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 16.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Lost
  No$7 @ 2.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Lost
  No$14 @ 7.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Won
  Yes$44 @ 24.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$7 @ 45.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 9.4¢
• Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Won
  No$98 @ 77.8¢
• Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Won
  No$120 @ 86.5¢
• Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 15.7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Lost
  No$77 @ 35.9¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 32.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
  Yes$151 @ 25.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 74.4¢
• Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Won
  Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?Lost
  No$4 @ 1.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
  No$15 @ 1.2¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Lost
  No$11 @ 2.2¢
• Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Won
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Won
  No$24 @ 76.7¢
• Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
  No$3 @ 52.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 15.5¢
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Lost
  No$12 @ 45.0¢
• Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 9.4¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 46.7¢
• Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Lost
  Yes$101 @ 2.2¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Lost
  No$12 @ 17.0¢
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Won
  Yes$91 @ 15.7¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
  No$22 @ 87.4¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
  No$16 @ 79.0¢
• Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 0.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Won
  Yes$8 @ 88.0¢
• Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Won
  Yes$23 @ 44.6¢
• Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
  Yes$307 @ 25.5¢
• Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
  Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
• Will White House post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?Won
  Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Lost
  No$28 @ 3.6¢
• Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$4 @ 77.0¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 29.0¢

Current positions

• Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics
  No$279 @ 86.6¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$50 @ 29.7¢
• Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$48 @ 24.2¢
• Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Politics
  Yes$13 @ 4.4¢
• Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$12 @ 9.8¢
• Will White House post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 5.0¢