0x758e…ad1c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x758e33a27af318a5a4010b8b6c2531148682ad1c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.6pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

64% @ 54.3¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

313

Avg size

$31

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (108/190)	+8%	190
Sports	50% (2/4)	+17%	4
Politics	50% (1/2)	-9%	2

Other190 bets
Hit rate
57% (108/190)
ROI
+8%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+17%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-9%

Track record

57% hit · 111/196

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	$30	51.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	$73	73.0¢	Lost
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$24	48.0¢	Lost
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	$51	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	No	$82	82.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?	No	$86	86.0¢	Won
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago Cubs	$23	77.8¢	Won
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$47	47.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$76	76.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Rockets	Rockets	$50	50.0¢	Won
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5	Under	$52	52.0¢	Won
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	$79	79.0¢	Lost
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?	No	$69	69.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$48	79.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?	No	$66	66.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Won
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles	Xavier Musketeers	$22	43.0¢	Won
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres	Colorado Rockies	$13	32.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?	No	$20	89.0¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$41	68.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Timberwolves	$14	20.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$40	81.0¢	Won
Hawks vs. Celtics	Celtics	$66	66.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Thunder	Thunder	$35	87.0¢	Won
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	$46	45.9¢	Lost
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Under	$29	57.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?	No	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur	Cameron Norrie	$37	37.0¢	Lost
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?	Yes	$11	12.0¢	Lost
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	$43	43.0¢	Won
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?	No	$43	28.7¢	Lost
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac	Rafael Jodar	$29	42.0¢	Won
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5	Under	$50	50.0¢	Won
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	$209	72.1¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$21	2.1¢	Lost
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?	No	$17	55.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	$53	52.0¢	Won
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	51.0¢	Won
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	$7	71.0¢	Won
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$23	45.0¢	Lost
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals	Milwaukee Brewers	$48	48.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	No	$40	67.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$46	46.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?	Yes	$35	88.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	$33	33.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$30	65.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$150	35.3¢	Won

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresWon
San Diego Padres$30 @ 51.0¢
Suns vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$73 @ 73.0¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?Lost
Yes$24 @ 48.0¢
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Lost
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?Won
No$86 @ 86.0¢
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland GuardiansWon
Chicago Cubs$23 @ 77.8¢
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Won
Over$47 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?Won
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
Knicks vs. RocketsWon
Rockets$50 @ 50.0¢
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Won
Under$52 @ 52.0¢
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel CerundoloLost
Juan Manuel Cerundolo$79 @ 79.0¢
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?Won
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$48 @ 79.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?Won
No$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?Won
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden EaglesWon
Xavier Musketeers$22 @ 43.0¢
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresLost
Colorado Rockies$13 @ 32.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?Won
No$20 @ 89.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$41 @ 68.0¢
Timberwolves vs. RocketsWon
Timberwolves$14 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$40 @ 81.0¢
Hawks vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$66 @ 66.0¢
Pistons vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$35 @ 87.0¢
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$46 @ 45.9¢
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Won
Under$29 @ 57.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?Lost
No$3 @ 25.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de MinaurLost
Cameron Norrie$37 @ 37.0¢
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?Lost
Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Won
Under$43 @ 43.0¢
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?Lost
No$43 @ 28.7¢
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas MachacWon
Rafael Jodar$29 @ 42.0¢
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$50 @ 50.0¢
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy PaulWon
Tommy Paul$209 @ 72.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.1¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?Won
No$17 @ 55.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Won
No$53 @ 52.0¢
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$51 @ 51.0¢
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?Won
Yes$7 @ 71.0¢
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$23 @ 45.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City RoyalsLost
Milwaukee Brewers$48 @ 48.0¢
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Lost
No$40 @ 67.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$46 @ 46.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?Won
Yes$35 @ 88.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$33 @ 33.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$30 @ 65.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$150 @ 35.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Business	Yes	$243	81.0¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$128	7.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Politics	Yes	$95	95.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Politics	Yes	$86	86.0¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Sports	Yes	$68	16.9¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$40	20.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$32	93.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Sports	San Diego Padres	$30	51.0¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$13	4.2¢

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Business
Yes$243 @ 81.0¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$128 @ 7.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Politics
Yes$95 @ 95.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Politics
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Sports
Yes$68 @ 16.9¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$32 @ 93.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresSports
San Diego Padres$30 @ 51.0¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$13 @ 4.2¢