0x72a2…7b65

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  -47%

• Other5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  -16%

• Crypto3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +125%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +146%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Lost
  No$2.5k @ 45.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.8k @ 20.5¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
  No$654 @ 71.9¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
  Yes$86 @ 42.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$8.8k @ 41.1¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$268 @ 67.0¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Won
  Yes$85 @ 88.3¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$112 @ 21.0¢
• Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
  No$226 @ 82.3¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 61.3¢
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Won
  Yes$326 @ 83.9¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$181 @ 45.3¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 69.8¢
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?Won
  No$45 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 84.0¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$192 @ 76.8¢

Current positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$31.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$31.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$22.8k @ 98.2¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics
  No$8.2k @ 97.6¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 99.2¢
• Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
  No$4.1k @ 97.6¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$4.0k @ 58.9¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$3.7k @ 92.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 74.9¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$3.4k @ 83.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3.3k @ 81.5¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 93.1¢
• Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
  Yes$2.3k @ 77.6¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech
  No$2.3k @ 92.8¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$2.2k @ 93.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 88.3¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 72.2¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Tech
  No$2.2k @ 93.7¢
• Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.0k @ 98.8¢
• Trump out as President by June 30?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 98.8¢
• Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 88.3¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 88.5¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 97.6¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$1.6k @ 82.7¢
• Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$1.6k @ 87.6¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$1.4k @ 96.1¢
• Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?Tech
  No$1.4k @ 95.0¢
• Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 93.0¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 86.3¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 91.0¢