← Smart money
0x70a9…6a74
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
63% @ 53.2¢
Brier
0.212
Resolved
704
Avg size
$149
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 61% (91/148) | -1% | 148 |
| Economy | 100% (7/7) | +147% | 7 |
| Politics | 40% (2/5) | +8% | 5 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +23% | 3 |
- Other148 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (91/148)
- ROI
- -1%
- Economy7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +147%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +8%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +23%
Track record
63% hit · 103/163- Yes$1.3k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$449 @ 39.5¢
- No$420 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 44.9¢
- 100k$528 @ 52.8¢
- 90k$996 @ 42.3¢
- Yes$435 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$483 @ 53.7¢
- No$199 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$16 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 43.1¢
- No$300 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 60.7¢
- No$65 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 34.6¢
- No$12 @ 4.8¢
- No$261 @ 48.5¢
- No$100 @ 47.0¢
- No$117 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 29.0¢
- No$537 @ 76.7¢
- No$381 @ 81.0¢
- No$50 @ 50.0¢
- No$71 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$199 @ 76.5¢
- Yes$225 @ 23.4¢
- $90k$253 @ 52.0¢
- No$140 @ 6.1¢
- No$50 @ 50.0¢
- No$162 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$175 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$440 @ 85.2¢
- No$630 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 64.0¢
- Yes$255 @ 52.3¢
- No$273 @ 37.5¢
- No$1.0k @ 80.3¢
- $80k$1.6k @ 57.5¢
- Yes$23 @ 1.1¢
- No$6.1k @ 77.4¢
- No$30 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 42.3¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 19.5¢
- No$370 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$205 @ 44.0¢
- No$81 @ 81.0¢
- No$41 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$915 @ 84.7¢
- No$111 @ 37.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $1.0k | 87.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Business | No | $586 | 89.0¢ |
- No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
- No$586 @ 89.0¢