← Smart money
0x6f87…f277
SharpEdge
-8.9pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
40% @ 48.7¢
Brier
0.130
Resolved
927
Avg size
$575
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 61% (62/101) | +13% | 101 |
| Politics | 67% (6/9) | +18% | 9 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +124% | 1 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +41% | 1 |
- Other101 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (62/101)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- +18%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +124%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +41%
Track record
63% hit · 70/112- Yes$2.2k @ 74.8¢
- No$246 @ 74.0¢
- No$413 @ 38.9¢
- Fury$4.2k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 44.6¢
- Yes$850 @ 85.0¢
- No$33.1k @ 33.1¢
- Yes$653 @ 43.4¢
- No$1.6k @ 79.9¢
- No$4.3k @ 85.0¢
- Gold$3.4k @ 58.3¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 40.9¢
- Yes$192 @ 51.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 74.9¢
- Ding$1.4k @ 22.8¢
- No$922 @ 33.7¢
- No$2.0k @ 57.0¢
- No$640 @ 64.0¢
- No$5.9k @ 88.0¢
- No$5.0k @ 49.9¢
- South Africa$296 @ 29.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 80.3¢
- No$4.8k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$480 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 81.8¢
- No$6.8k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 37.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 71.8¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 67.5¢
- Yes$316 @ 85.5¢
- No$1.7k @ 57.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$14.7k @ 70.2¢
- No$4.0k @ 80.6¢
- No$5.6k @ 66.4¢
- Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 29.0¢
- No$6.5k @ 86.0¢
- Tate$1.7k @ 85.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 75.6¢
- No$603 @ 79.6¢
- No$131 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 77.0¢
- Yes$25.6k @ 82.5¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 60.6¢
- No$1.8k @ 60.0¢
- No$784 @ 62.9¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 77.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 20.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 67.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $29.2k | 75.0¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $21.6k | 86.6¢ |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | No | $10.0k | 83.1¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $5.7k | 81.6¢ |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $5.0k | 5.0¢ |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027? | Politics | No | $4.2k | 84.0¢ |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Politics | No | $4.1k | 81.6¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $1.9k | 62.0¢ |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Crypto | No | $1.9k | 93.0¢ |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $1.8k | 5.6¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $1.6k | 78.0¢ |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | Tech | No | $535 | 53.5¢ |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Tech | No | $498 | 48.9¢ |
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$29.2k @ 75.0¢
- No$21.6k @ 86.6¢
- No$10.0k @ 83.1¢
- No$5.7k @ 81.6¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 5.0¢
- Modi out by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$4.2k @ 84.0¢
- No$4.1k @ 81.6¢
- No$1.9k @ 62.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 5.6¢
- No$1.6k @ 78.0¢
- No$535 @ 53.5¢
- No$498 @ 48.9¢