0x6e4b…3c6d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6e4b8009426dd540f27797ffc326188c223b3c6d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+27.9pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

71% @ 43.3¢

Brier

0.284

Resolved

215

Avg size

$203

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	90% (9/10)	+168%	10
Other	50% (5/10)	+28%	10
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
+168%
Other10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+28%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

64% hit · 14/22

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	$754	51.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	Yes	$903	52.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$3.5k	69.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$651	52.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$850	0.4¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$528	29.4¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$593	28.6¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$4.9k	67.9¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$672	0.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1.3k	25.4¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	$62	0.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	$2.0k	57.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	$2.2k	67.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	$7.1k	25.6¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$2.2k	53.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.6k	67.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	$269	26.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	$1.5k	75.0¢	Won
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	$731	42.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?	No	$224	33.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	$104	2.6¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	0.2¢	Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Won
No$754 @ 51.0¢
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?Lost
Yes$903 @ 52.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3.5k @ 69.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$651 @ 52.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$850 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$528 @ 29.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$593 @ 28.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$4.9k @ 67.9¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$672 @ 0.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 25.4¢
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Lost
No$62 @ 0.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 57.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 67.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Won
No$7.1k @ 25.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 53.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$1.6k @ 67.0¢
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?Won
Yes$269 @ 26.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 75.0¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Won
Yes$731 @ 42.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Won
No$224 @ 33.0¢
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Lost
No$104 @ 2.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	—	No	$1.6k	65.7¢

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?—
No$1.6k @ 65.7¢