← Smart money
0x6cb1…1002
ProfitableEdge
+6.5pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
56% @ 49.4¢
Brier
0.237
Resolved
368
Avg size
$17
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (83/174) | +27% | 174 |
| Sports | 39% (9/23) | -22% | 23 |
| Politics | 55% (6/11) | -91% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (2/6) | -95% | 6 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +511% | 1 |
- Other174 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (83/174)
- ROI
- +27%
- Sports23 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (9/23)
- ROI
- -22%
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (6/11)
- ROI
- -91%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -95%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +511%
Track record
47% hit · 101/215- New York Mets$1 @ 45.0¢
- LOS$66 @ 54.0¢
- Weibo Gaming$5 @ 37.0¢
- Taylor Fritz$72 @ 46.0¢
- Over$20 @ 50.0¢
- Under$49 @ 53.0¢
- Over$1 @ 42.0¢
- Over$2 @ 47.0¢
- No$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$853 @ 42.5¢
- No$2 @ 39.0¢
- OG$78 @ 60.6¢
- Chicago Cubs$7 @ 62.4¢
- Chicago Cubs$43 @ 57.0¢
- Hurricanes$65 @ 69.2¢
- Baltimore Orioles$2 @ 20.0¢
- Matt Schnell$3 @ 1.0¢
- 9z$8 @ 42.0¢
- OG$83 @ 63.4¢
- Under$4 @ 48.0¢
- Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWonGrind Back$8 @ 69.1¢
- Jiri Lehecka$189 @ 83.9¢
- Pablo Carreno Busta$20 @ 19.0¢
- Over$10 @ 50.5¢
- Under$10 @ 51.0¢
- No$1 @ 79.0¢
- No$1 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
- Legacy$8 @ 35.4¢
- Yes$34 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 2.0¢
- Xiyu Wang$9 @ 61.1¢
- Canadiens$43 @ 49.0¢
- Alexandra Eala$3 @ 40.0¢
- Under$13 @ 47.0¢
- Over$18 @ 48.0¢
- San Francisco Giants$4 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 14.8¢
- Golden Knights$239 @ 49.0¢
- paiN$9 @ 47.0¢
- Under$7 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 16.4¢
- No$4 @ 88.5¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$164 @ 68.5¢
- Kiwoom DRX$45 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$54 @ 58.5¢
- Under$10 @ 46.0¢
- Over$195 @ 48.0¢
- Cavaliers$15 @ 56.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels | — | Los Angeles Angels | $371 | 49.7¢ |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Sports | Belgium | $122 | 46.1¢ |
| Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants | — | San Francisco Giants | $118 | 48.0¢ |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 | — | Over | $108 | 37.0¢ |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner | — | Natus Vincere | $40 | 89.0¢ |
| Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner | — | Team Bald | $39 | 52.0¢ |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | — | Over | $38 | 53.0¢ |
| Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner | — | Power Rangers | $38 | 60.0¢ |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Sports | Atlanta Braves | $8 | 51.2¢ |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | No | $2 | 75.0¢ |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $2 | 72.0¢ |
- Los Angeles Angels$371 @ 49.7¢
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)SportsBelgium$122 @ 46.1¢
- San Francisco Giants$118 @ 48.0¢
- Over$108 @ 37.0¢
- Natus Vincere$40 @ 89.0¢
- Team Bald$39 @ 52.0¢
- Over$38 @ 53.0¢
- Power Rangers$38 @ 60.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$8 @ 51.2¢
- No$2 @ 75.0¢
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?GeopoliticsNo$2 @ 72.0¢