0x6af9…a022

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6af979886560c78dcd1036660886098a3c45a022
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.8pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

45% @ 36.1¢

Brier

0.121

Resolved

227

Avg size

$98

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (24/51)	+43%	51
Sports	17% (1/6)	-74%	6
Politics	50% (1/2)	+4%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+44%	1

Other51 bets
Hit rate
47% (24/51)
ROI
+43%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-74%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+4%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+44%

Track record

45% hit · 27/60

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$645	22.2¢	Won
Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5	Under	$306	51.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	$178	64.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$255	5.1¢	Lost
CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5	Under	$225	12.0¢	Lost
CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5	Under	$38	38.0¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Under	$147	49.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Under	$306	51.0¢	Lost
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$216	52.0¢	Won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$416	52.0¢	Lost
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5	Under	$312	52.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$50	1.8¢	Lost
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$120	60.0¢	Lost
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Score	No	$63	38.0¢	Lost
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?	No	$390	39.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$300	50.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?	Yes	$60	4.4¢	Lost
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Under	$406	50.7¢	Won
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5	Under	$500	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	$520	52.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1.7k	85.5¢	Won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$500	50.0¢	Lost
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$81	81.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$180	60.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$50	1.0¢	Lost
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$500	50.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$165	3.3¢	Lost
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	$200	50.0¢	Won
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	$225	45.0¢	Lost
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$215	43.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?	No	$192	48.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$1.0k	69.3¢	Won
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$405	27.0¢	Won
CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5	Under	$368	46.0¢	Won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$400	50.0¢	Lost
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$389	16.4¢	Lost
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Under	$230	46.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$214	4.1¢	Lost
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5	Under	$273	45.5¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	$34	19.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$328	52.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?	Yes	$4	5.0¢	Lost
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	$96	48.0¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	$46	22.0¢	Lost
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5	Under	$8	10.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	$4.5k	85.9¢	Won
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$220	22.0¢	Won
Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$90	7.0¢	Lost
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$76	76.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$134	67.0¢	Won

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?Won
Yes$645 @ 22.2¢
Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$306 @ 51.0¢
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Won
Yes$178 @ 64.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$255 @ 5.1¢
CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$225 @ 12.0¢
CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$38 @ 38.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Won
Under$147 @ 49.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$306 @ 51.0¢
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$216 @ 52.0¢
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$416 @ 52.0¢
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$312 @ 52.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 1.8¢
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?Lost
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$63 @ 38.0¢
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?Won
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Won
Under$300 @ 50.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?Lost
Yes$60 @ 4.4¢
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Won
Under$406 @ 50.7¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Won
Under$500 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Won
Real Madrid CF$520 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
No$1.7k @ 85.5¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?Won
Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Won
Yes$180 @ 60.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$50 @ 1.0¢
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$165 @ 3.3¢
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Won
Under$200 @ 50.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$225 @ 45.0¢
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$215 @ 43.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?Lost
No$192 @ 48.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
No$1.0k @ 69.3¢
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Won
Under$405 @ 27.0¢
CF Monterrey vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Won
Under$368 @ 46.0¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$400 @ 50.0¢
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$389 @ 16.4¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$230 @ 46.0¢
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Lost
Yes$214 @ 4.1¢
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$273 @ 45.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
No$34 @ 19.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Won
Yes$328 @ 52.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$96 @ 48.0¢
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Lost
Yes$46 @ 22.0¢
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Won
Under$8 @ 10.0¢
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
No$4.5k @ 85.9¢
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Won
Under$220 @ 22.0¢
Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$90 @ 7.0¢
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?Lost
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$134 @ 67.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$854	17.1¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$815	16.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$440	8.8¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$104	2.1¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$85	1.7¢

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$854 @ 17.1¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$815 @ 16.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$440 @ 8.8¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$104 @ 2.1¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$85 @ 1.7¢