0x68e8…c464

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x68e80eee1c448daaf93b782953c60653f070c464
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.3pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

84% @ 73.6¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

286

Avg size

$327

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (107/142)	+22%	142
Politics	87% (27/31)	+17%	31
Crypto	100% (22/22)	+24%	22
Sports	68% (13/19)	-10%	19
Geopolitics	100% (8/8)	+30%	8
Tech	100% (4/4)	+19%	4
Economy	100% (1/1)	+39%	1

Other142 bets
Hit rate
75% (107/142)
ROI
+22%
Politics31 bets
Hit rate
87% (27/31)
ROI
+17%
Crypto22 bets
Hit rate
100% (22/22)
ROI
+24%
Sports19 bets
Hit rate
68% (13/19)
ROI
-10%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+30%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+19%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+39%

Track record

80% hit · 182/227

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	$300	91.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$300	84.0¢	Lost
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$200	64.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	$200	85.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	$300	65.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	No	$200	80.8¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	$300	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	$300	86.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	No	$300	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	No	$1.3k	85.8¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?	No	$300	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	$1000	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	$800	80.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	No	$300	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	$400	83.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	$300	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	No	$300	81.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	No	$300	75.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $130 in September?	No	$500	86.8¢	Won
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$300	81.0¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$200	61.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	3DMAX	$20	49.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	67.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Spirit	$20	48.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$30	68.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$300	86.0¢	Won
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	$200	79.1¢	Won
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	$304	78.0¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$303	71.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$800	83.1¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$302	84.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$605	78.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$915	77.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$300	81.7¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$300	78.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?	No	$300	83.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$610	77.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	$870	84.9¢	Won
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$500	80.9¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$50	33.0¢	Lost
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$203	62.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$600	82.5¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$22	65.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?	No	$595	69.0¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$200	81.8¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$20	47.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$200	74.4¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	$4.7k	89.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	70.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	No	$150	47.1¢	Lost

Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Won
No$300 @ 91.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$300 @ 84.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$200 @ 64.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 85.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Won
No$300 @ 65.0¢
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Won
No$200 @ 80.8¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Won
No$300 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Won
No$300 @ 86.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Won
No$300 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?Won
No$1.3k @ 85.8¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?Won
No$300 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?Won
No$1000 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Won
No$800 @ 80.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?Won
No$300 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Won
No$400 @ 83.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?Won
No$300 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?Won
No$300 @ 81.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?Won
No$300 @ 75.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?Won
No$500 @ 86.8¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$300 @ 81.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
No$200 @ 61.0¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
3DMAX$20 @ 49.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 67.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ALost
Spirit$20 @ 48.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$30 @ 68.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$300 @ 86.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Won
No$200 @ 79.1¢
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Won
No$304 @ 78.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$303 @ 71.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$800 @ 83.1¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$302 @ 84.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$605 @ 78.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$915 @ 77.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$300 @ 81.7¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$300 @ 78.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?Won
No$300 @ 83.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Won
No$610 @ 77.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Won
No$870 @ 84.9¢
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$500 @ 80.9¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLost
Patriots$50 @ 33.0¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$203 @ 62.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$600 @ 82.5¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$22 @ 65.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?Won
No$595 @ 69.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 81.8¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$20 @ 47.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
No$200 @ 74.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
No$4.7k @ 89.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 70.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Lost
No$150 @ 47.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$500	85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$300	87.6¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Crypto	No	$300	87.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	Business	No	$300	84.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$300	82.4¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	Business	No	$300	88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$300	85.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Politics	No	$300	84.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Other	No	$300	84.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	Crypto	No	$300	83.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Crypto	No	$300	82.0¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Crypto
No$500 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Crypto
No$300 @ 87.6¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Crypto
No$300 @ 87.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?Business
No$300 @ 84.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$300 @ 82.4¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?Business
No$300 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Crypto
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
No$300 @ 84.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Other
No$300 @ 84.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Crypto
No$300 @ 83.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Crypto
No$300 @ 82.0¢