0x6326…c522

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x63260de9ed08e5744924511b97348762f052c522
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.4pp

ROI

+70%

Win rate

31% @ 20.5¢

Brier

0.136

Resolved

324

Avg size

$25

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	35% (24/69)	+16%	69
Other	37% (16/43)	+251%	43
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports69 bets
Hit rate
35% (24/69)
ROI
+16%
Other43 bets
Hit rate
37% (16/43)
ROI
+251%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 40/115

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	$50	82.7¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$74	3.6¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$23	0.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$307	16.7¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$27	3.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?	No	$98	82.2¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	$161	5.7¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$11	3.6¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	$17	0.5¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$381	23.1¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	ONIC PH	$74	46.8¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	Team Liquid PH	$134	80.2¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$1.1k	64.7¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$23	11.5¢	Lost
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	$452	11.2¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	No	$446	36.5¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$119	49.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	$70	1.3¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	$160	80.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$170	2.6¢	Lost
Game Handicap: TLPH (-1.5) vs ONIC PH (+1.5)	ONIC PH	$26	70.5¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	$5	45.0¢	Lost
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	$139	20.4¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$88	56.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$10	56.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$3	41.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$3	35.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geekay Esports vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group B	Geekay Esports	$6	26.3¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geekay Esports vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group B	Selangor Red Giants	$5	50.0¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	$6	15.7¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$6	47.0¢	Won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	No	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$15	63.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$6	20.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$18	39.9¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$37	35.7¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	$3	40.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$5	65.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	$5	18.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	$5	23.8¢	Lost

Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?Won
No$50 @ 82.7¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$74 @ 3.6¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$23 @ 0.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$307 @ 16.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Lost
No$27 @ 3.3¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?Won
No$98 @ 82.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$161 @ 5.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.6¢
Iran leadership change by August 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$381 @ 23.1¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular SeasonLost
ONIC PH$74 @ 46.8¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Team Liquid PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular SeasonWon
Team Liquid PH$134 @ 80.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 64.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 11.5¢
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?Won
Yes$452 @ 11.2¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Won
No$446 @ 36.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
No$119 @ 49.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$70 @ 1.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Won
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$170 @ 2.6¢
Game Handicap: TLPH (-1.5) vs ONIC PH (+1.5)Lost
ONIC PH$26 @ 70.5¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?Lost
No$5 @ 45.0¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Lost
No$3 @ 9.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Lost
No$139 @ 20.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
No$88 @ 56.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$10 @ 56.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$3 @ 41.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$3 @ 35.0¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geekay Esports vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group BLost
Geekay Esports$6 @ 26.3¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geekay Esports vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - Mid Season Cup Group BWon
Selangor Red Giants$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$6 @ 15.7¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$6 @ 47.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?Lost
Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
No$3 @ 26.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$15 @ 63.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$6 @ 20.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$18 @ 39.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$37 @ 35.7¢
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersLost
Over$3 @ 40.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 19.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfLost
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$93	10.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$30	24.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$23	25.9¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$10	7.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$93 @ 10.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 24.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$23 @ 25.9¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢