← Smart money
0x6266…623a
SharpEdge
+27.0pp
ROI
+71%
Win rate
98% @ 71.2¢
Brier
0.103
Resolved
54
Avg size
$784
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 88% (7/8) | +71% | 8 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +63% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 88% (7/8)
- ROI
- +71%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +63%
Track record
89% hit · 8/9| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? | No | $1.4k | 89.0¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | $67 | 67.0¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | $86 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | $13.9k | 40.4¢ | Won |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $41 | 61.2¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | $2.5k | 86.0¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | $17.7k | 72.0¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $6.7k | 77.0¢ | Won |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16? | Yes | $4 | 74.1¢ | Lost |
- No$1.4k @ 89.0¢
- No$67 @ 67.0¢
- No$86 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$13.9k @ 40.4¢
- Yes$41 @ 61.2¢
- No$2.5k @ 86.0¢
- No$17.7k @ 72.0¢
- No$6.7k @ 77.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 74.1¢
Recent trades
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