0x5e2f…55ca

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5e2fbaa107924ea40dee5eb40482fbaf6f7155ca
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.7pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

18% @ 16.3¢

Brier

0.083

Resolved

2140

Avg size

$48

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	27% (81/303)	+18%	303
Politics	39% (15/38)	-0%	38
Sports	40% (6/15)	+11%	15
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-0%	4
Tech	100% (1/1)	+12%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+346%	1

Other303 bets
Hit rate
27% (81/303)
ROI
+18%
Politics38 bets
Hit rate
39% (15/38)
ROI
-0%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-0%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+346%

Track record

29% hit · 105/362

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	$38	80.0¢	Won
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?	Yes	$105	7.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	Yes	$682	67.5¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$232	26.8¢	Lost
76ers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$100	45.0¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$500	77.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	No	$270	60.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$28	14.0¢	Lost
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5	Under	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$705	20.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	Yes	$660	27.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	No	$1.1k	77.4¢	Won
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$176	1.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	$202	41.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	$6	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	Yes	$161	3.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$324	6.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	$200	5.1¢	Lost
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$22	22.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	$175	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$50	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$112	57.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?	Yes	$50	2.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?	Yes	$100	11.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	Yes	$11	5.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	$250	11.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$497	16.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	$121	12.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	Yes	$111	17.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	Yes	$100	20.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	24.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$420	7.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?	Yes	$50	6.1¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$162	79.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$25	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$50	2.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	$597	75.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	6.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	Yes	$83	13.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	Yes	$46	1.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$36	12.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost

Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Won
No$38 @ 80.0¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Lost
Yes$105 @ 7.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Won
Yes$682 @ 67.5¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Lost
Yes$232 @ 26.8¢
76ers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$100 @ 45.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$500 @ 77.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Won
No$270 @ 60.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$28 @ 14.0¢
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$705 @ 20.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$660 @ 27.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Won
No$1.1k @ 77.4¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$176 @ 1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Won
Yes$202 @ 41.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$161 @ 3.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$324 @ 6.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 5.1¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$22 @ 22.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$175 @ 7.0¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
Yes$50 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
Yes$112 @ 57.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 11.7¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$250 @ 11.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Lost
Yes$497 @ 16.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$121 @ 12.8¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$111 @ 17.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 20.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 24.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$420 @ 7.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 6.1¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$162 @ 79.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 2.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Lost
No$597 @ 75.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$83 @ 13.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$46 @ 1.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 12.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Politics	No	$160	46.3¢
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	Politics	No	$72	22.7¢
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$54	21.4¢

Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?Politics
No$160 @ 46.3¢
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?Politics
No$72 @ 22.7¢
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$54 @ 21.4¢