← Smart money
0x5cc5…dd71
SharpEdge
+8.7pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
50% @ 41.6¢
Brier
0.150
Resolved
161
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 45% (5/11) | -40% | 11 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +43% | 6 |
| Other | 25% (1/4) | -58% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (5/11)
- ROI
- -40%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +43%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -58%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
41% hit · 9/22- Yes$34 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 16.0¢
- No$4 @ 76.0¢
- No$51 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 35.4¢
- No$2 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.1¢
- No$12 @ 36.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.6¢
- No$1 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$73 @ 54.0¢
- No$4 @ 52.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.4¢
- No$7 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
- No$2 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 81.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $15 | 93.6¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $11 | 91.7¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $9 | 72.8¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 30.8¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $5 | 96.0¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $5 | 91.4¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $2 | 89.0¢ |
- No$15 @ 93.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 91.7¢
- No$9 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 30.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 96.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$5 @ 91.4¢
- No$2 @ 89.0¢