0x5c97…fa05

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5c9784bf224923c3bdba9823c1b922786d43fa05
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+23.1pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

84% @ 61.0¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

214

Avg size

$170

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (17/24)	-0%	24
Sports	82% (14/17)	+60%	17
Politics	73% (11/15)	+10%	15
Culture	100% (3/3)	+34%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+2%	2

Other24 bets
Hit rate
71% (17/24)
ROI
-0%
Sports17 bets
Hit rate
82% (14/17)
ROI
+60%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
73% (11/15)
ROI
+10%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+34%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+2%

Track record

75% hit · 46/61

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$55	39.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$5.1k	65.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$53	89.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$280	70.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	$210	75.0¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?	Yes	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$101	62.0¢	Won
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?	Yes	$79	86.8¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	$2.2k	85.0¢	Lost
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	$290	73.5¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?	Yes	$118	67.1¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$3.1k	70.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$5.1k	47.5¢	Won
Will Casemiro join Inter Miami?	Yes	$432	89.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	$870	87.0¢	Won
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$34	25.3¢	Lost
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$307	61.4¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	$360	60.0¢	Won
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	$104	69.1¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	$517	84.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$110	55.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$324	81.0¢	Won
Will Daichi Kamada be in Japan's Starting 11?	Yes	$256	87.1¢	Won
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$37	46.0¢	Lost
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	$312	78.0¢	Won
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	$35	53.7¢	Lost
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	$248	82.8¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$126	63.0¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	$133	88.1¢	Won
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11?	No	$86	19.5¢	Won
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	$697	83.3¢	Won
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11?	Yes	$98	89.9¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$5.0k	85.0¢	Won
Will Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11?	Yes	$45	45.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$116	58.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$316	79.0¢	Won
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	$8	75.0¢	Won
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	$66	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	$321	80.2¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	No	$92	46.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$5.1k	58.0¢	Won
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?	Yes	$19	57.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	Yes	$299	47.7¢	Lost
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$144	68.1¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?	No	$74	53.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	$67	67.0¢	Lost
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	$72	48.0¢	Won
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	$89	59.0¢	Lost

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Won
Yes$55 @ 39.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 65.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$53 @ 89.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$280 @ 70.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$210 @ 75.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Won
Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$101 @ 62.0¢
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?Won
Yes$79 @ 86.8¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Lost
No$2.2k @ 85.0¢
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Won
No$290 @ 73.5¢
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Won
Yes$118 @ 67.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 70.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 47.5¢
Will Casemiro join Inter Miami?Won
Yes$432 @ 89.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Won
Yes$870 @ 87.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$34 @ 25.3¢
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?Won
Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$307 @ 61.4¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Won
No$360 @ 60.0¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Won
No$104 @ 69.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Won
Yes$517 @ 84.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$324 @ 81.0¢
Will Daichi Kamada be in Japan's Starting 11?Won
Yes$256 @ 87.1¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$37 @ 46.0¢
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Won
Yes$312 @ 78.0¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Lost
No$35 @ 53.7¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Won
Yes$248 @ 82.8¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
No$126 @ 63.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Won
Yes$133 @ 88.1¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Won
Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11?Won
No$86 @ 19.5¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Won
Yes$697 @ 83.3¢
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11?Won
Yes$98 @ 89.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Won
Yes$5.0k @ 85.0¢
Will Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11?Won
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$116 @ 58.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$316 @ 79.0¢
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Won
Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Won
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?Won
No$321 @ 80.2¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Lost
No$92 @ 46.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$5.1k @ 58.0¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Won
Yes$19 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Lost
Yes$299 @ 47.7¢
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$144 @ 68.1¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?Won
No$74 @ 53.0¢
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Won
Yes$72 @ 48.0¢
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$89 @ 59.0¢

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