← Smart money
0x5ac8…2611
SharpEdge
+16.2pp
ROI
+29%
Win rate
64% @ 48.0¢
Brier
0.147
Resolved
787
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (26/48) | +41% | 48 |
| Politics | 45% (15/33) | +2% | 33 |
| Sports | 33% (4/12) | +27% | 12 |
| Crypto | 43% (3/7) | +35% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other48 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (26/48)
- ROI
- +41%
- Politics33 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (15/33)
- ROI
- +2%
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- +27%
- Crypto7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +35%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
47% hit · 48/102- Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.7¢
- No$2 @ 96.5¢
- No$73 @ 64.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 35.1¢
- No$1 @ 93.0¢
- No$29 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.6¢
- No$9 @ 37.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$41 @ 71.9¢
- No$13 @ 51.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
- No$7 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 44.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
- No$3 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- No$8 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 19.4¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.5¢
- No$1 @ 39.9¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$19 @ 21.4¢
- No$2 @ 83.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 23.2¢
- No$7 @ 73.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
- No$53 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$27 @ 1.0¢
- No$2 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 18.6¢
- No$47 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$32 @ 25.4¢
- No$12 @ 88.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
- No$2 @ 58.0¢
- No$7 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$29 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 35.9¢
- No$2 @ 14.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 76.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 77.0¢ |
- Yes$4 @ 77.0¢