0x59a5…afc8

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other93 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (68/93)

  ROI

  +8%

• Politics5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +1%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +29%

• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 81.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
  No$1 @ 22.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  No$4.3k @ 76.3¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$10.8k @ 83.9¢
• Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Won
  No$670 @ 67.0¢
• Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?Won
  Yes$146 @ 68.1¢
• Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 65.8¢
• Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Won
  No$1.5k @ 64.9¢
• Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Lost
  No$212 @ 70.7¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Won
  No$1.8k @ 89.4¢
• Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 3.0¢
• Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Won
  No$493 @ 83.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Lost
  Yes$2.2k @ 46.6¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  No$2.3k @ 56.8¢
• Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Won
  No$3.2k @ 77.7¢
• Israel military action against Iran in July?Won
  No$2.8k @ 72.2¢
• Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?Won
  No$670 @ 67.0¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$309 @ 1.4¢
• Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 88.8¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$4.7k @ 78.7¢
• Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel Won
  Crawford$8.5k @ 83.5¢
• Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
  Yes$12.1k @ 88.2¢
• Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Won
  No$45 @ 86.0¢
• Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Won
  No$2.5k @ 86.4¢
• Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 89.8¢
• Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Won
  No$3.5k @ 77.5¢
• Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Lost
  Yes$505 @ 8.2¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Won
  No$1.4k @ 76.8¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$2 @ 76.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Won
  No$1.6k @ 27.5¢
• Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
  No$979 @ 24.3¢
• Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Won
  No$1.1k @ 81.9¢
• Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Won
  Yes$4.7k @ 61.4¢
• Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?Lost
  No$30 @ 6.0¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$896 @ 74.8¢
• Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Won
  No$1.8k @ 88.4¢
• Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Won
  Yes$5.9k @ 73.5¢
• Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Lost
  No$4.1k @ 52.3¢
• Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 78.1¢
• Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Won
  No$15.1k @ 87.1¢
• Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Lost
  Yes$1.8k @ 17.9¢
• Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?Lost
  No$145 @ 3.5¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Won
  No$8.7k @ 78.8¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Won
  No$965 @ 77.2¢
• Trump releases Epstein list today?Lost
  No$6.3k @ 60.9¢
• US military action against Iran before July?Lost
  No$666 @ 53.5¢
• Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
  No$6.9k @ 70.6¢
• Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Won
  No$5.3k @ 88.8¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$16.6k @ 87.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$16.4k @ 74.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.8k @ 87.5¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$5.4k @ 90.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 60.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.8k @ 94.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.8k @ 57.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.5k @ 76.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 65.7¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$1.4k @ 47.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 30.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 88.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$471 @ 57.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$16 @ 96.7¢